Champions League · resolved market
FIFA Club World Cup: Will Messi score another goal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67c031f9efbf91101679b8fc332d466ad401c286c787fbd0fd32bf23ee761b66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 71c | 2,465$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.63 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 71c | 1,120$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.79 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 68c | 928.34$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.29 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d37…2f72backed Yes | 30c | 803.77$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed No | 72c | 802.83$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.09 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Yes | 33c | 610.36$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 69c | 576.71$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.25 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed Yes | 28c | 527.52$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -72%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed No | 71c | 421.86$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.86 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 25c | 399.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 74c | 392.47$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.47 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 69c | 369.96$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.09 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807e…c3f9backed Yes | 29c | 345.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…a683backed Yes | 26c | 342.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Yes | 30c | 337.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…22ddbacked Yes | 31c | 321.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc2…b496backed No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed No | 71c | 220$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed Yes | 26c | 206.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 71c | 203.8$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…21d0backed Yes | 26c | 191.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked No | 69c | 176.24$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x195b…f993backed Yes | 26c | 169.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 19c | 165$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…53afbacked Yes | 37c | 151.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d0…a38abacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 29c | 125.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Yes | 30c | 118.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…487cbacked Yes | 28c | 101.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89d2…6031backed No | 68c | 99.96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd197…9991backed Yes | 27c | 99.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 28c | 90.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…de71backed No | 68c | 87.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe7…9563backed Yes | 23c | 85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…58d9backed Yes | 51c | 82.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked No | 67c | 78.52$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 34c | 73.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x855e…42e3backed Yes | 28c | 72.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed4…8c3cbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…1966backed Yes | 30c | 67.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c2…5a81backed Yes | 30c | 67.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03db…c28bbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…c90dbacked Yes | 34c | 58.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 35c | 56.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed No | 73c | 56.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed No | 76c | 54.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c14…0ea1backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 28c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc321…2e71backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…abe1backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa133…8de2backed No | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed No | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…a72bbacked Yes | 33c | 47.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ad…75fcbacked Yes | 28c | 45.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f96…599ebacked Yes | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…ad57backed No | 73c | 41.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed No | 77c | 40.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe534…bfafbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…2b47backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed No | 72c | 36.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 68c | 35.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a3…168abacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1e…75edbacked No | 39c | 32.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 163 | 27%44 W · 119 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b9…b138backed Yes | 37c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa060…9719backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x103c…232bbacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xece2…b93dbacked No | 75c | 26.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 57c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d77…fdbebacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked No | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…99bebacked No | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.