TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd687…c066

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
195
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 66 out of 100 (+0.14 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 66 out of 100; worst Earnings at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST3748.6%18 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+81.8%+$35.01
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.42
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+40.7%+$131.28
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.99
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$170
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$249.67
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+77.2%+$71.58
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during Egypt summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$104
Will Trump say "Reconstruction" during Egypt summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.79
Will Trump say "Iran" during Egypt summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.24
Will Trump say "Erdogan" during Egypt summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.37
Will Trump say "Steve" or "Jared" during Egypt summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.84
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$162.99
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+182.4%+$867.42
US strikes Yemen by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+111.2%+$92.42
Israel strikes Iran by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.1
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 10 ET?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+507.4%+$413.7
Israel strike on Yemen by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 9 ET?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.99
Israel strikes Iran before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$51
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$51
Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+91.7%+$623.57
Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+40.5%+$18.25
Will Israel strike Syria on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+39.9%+$99.9
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$839Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+64%+$536.96
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-46.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump approval Up or Down this week?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+87.1%+$293.19
Will Trump say "Thank you" 7+ times during announcement today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.77
Will the Government shutdown end before October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$335.33
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$102
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$81
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+67.8%+$101
Trump approval Up or Down this week?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.27
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$267.98
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.13
Trump approval Up or Down this week?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$159.25
US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+28%+$20.38
Will Elon register the America Party in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$75
Will Elon tag @realDonaldTrump on X in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$231.92
US-EU trade agreement by July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$43.2
Will Trump say "Trans / Transgender" during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$25
Will the Reconciliation bill receive fewer than 213 votes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$128.37
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.14
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
All 23 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-74.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Earnings — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pfizer (PFE) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$53.4
Will Piper Sandler Companies (PIPR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$167.6
Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$141.29
Will Otis Worldwide (OTIS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will United Parcel Service (UPS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.86
Will PayPal Holdings (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.36
Will Confluent (CFLT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.14
Will SS&C Technologies Holdings (SSNC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will CBRE Group (CBRE) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$213.22
Will PulteGroup (PHM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$57
Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Accenture (ACN) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.63
Will Micron Tech (MU) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.7
Will Fedex (FDX) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.49
Will Factset Research (FDS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+178.1%+$201
Will Bullish (BLSH) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.34
Will General Mills (GIS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.58
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$128.8
Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.23
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.73
US Open: Naomi Osaka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$109.2
US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$78
US Open: Felix Auger Aliassime vs Alex de Minaurbacked Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$175.8
US Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osakabacked Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$108.18
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.2
US Open: Felix Auger Aliassime vs Andrey Rublevbacked Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$178.2
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.8
Wimbledon Final – Anisimova vs. Swiatekbacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.4
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Anisimova (W) backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.47
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$137.25
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.43
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$209.81
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$192
Will Inter win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$101.38
Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$100
Will Chelsea beat Fluminense in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$100
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance) backed Bayern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.05
Will Fluminense beat Al Hilal in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.58
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)backed Al Hilal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.75
FIFA Club World Cup: Dortmund vs. Monterrey (To Advance) backed Monterrey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
FIFA Club World Cup: Will Messi score another goal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+39.3%+$10.35
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: Top Esports vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$192
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. Weibo Gamingbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.96
League of Legends: T1 vs. Nongshim Red Forcebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. FlyQuestbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.9
League of Legends: Hanwha Life vs. Movistar KOIbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
League of Legends: FlyQuest vs. Cloud9backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$48
MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.89
MSI Playoffs: Bilibili Gaming vs. Anyone's Legendbacked Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$103.33
MSI Playoffs: Bilibili Gaming vs. FlyQuestbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+31.7%+$50.61
MSI Playoffs: CTBC Flying Oyster vs. Anyone's Legendbacked CTBC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-80.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$269.88
Will VVD win the fewest seats in the next Netherlands General Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+75%+$75.72
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$73.92
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$34.62
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$684.05
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$130.92
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by October 31backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Elections go right: Octoberbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.06
Yoon arrested by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$181.38
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+75%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+4.4wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+341.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yankees vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+119.6%+$121.7
Mariners vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$285
Cubs vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.4
Mariners vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$76.5
Mariners vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$96
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-66.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+64.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+26.2%+$71.55
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$178.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Panathinaikos win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$156.82
Will Lyon win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$291.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IEM Cologne: Vitality vs. MOUZbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$227.5
IEM Cologne: FURIA vs. Astralisbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$138.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Xi Jinping seen in public by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$126
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+119.1%+$27.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+37%+$175.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$135.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Series of Poker – American winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.