MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12bd4dc39dd7538b23bdb674d602ced369b6af423e32eb4ddd9f4cbbb555f44d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Yankees, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Marlins | 5c | 19,939$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,887.06 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yankees | 61c | 14,688$9,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,027.54 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Yankees | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Marlins | 42c | 9,945$4,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,767.81 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Marlins | 41c | 9,624$3,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,678.37 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 34c | 9,495$3,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,276.11 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yankees | 70c | 9,446$6,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,640 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Yankees | 62c | 8,112$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Marlins | 36c | 6,438$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,098.51 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Marlins | 38c | 5,499$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,409.63 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Marlins | 26c | 5,365$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,983.28 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Marlins | 38c | 5,222$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,237.63 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Marlins | 38c | 4,840$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.88 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Yankees | 48c | 4,353$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.2 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Yankees | 62c | 3,666$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.92 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Yankees | 66c | 3,616$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.47 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bf…2ab3backed Yankees | 54c | 2,727$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.78 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…47e9backed Yankees | 59c | 2,700$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Yankees | 54c | 2,400$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Marlins | 38c | 2,211$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.79 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yankees | 56c | 2,052$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.28 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Marlins | 36c | 2,041$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.74 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yankees | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Marlins | 41c | 1,971$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.08 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yankees | 59c | 1,783$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.97 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 39c | 1,743$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.96 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Marlins | 40c | 1,615$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.35 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yankees | 65c | 1,549$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yankees | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Yankees | 59c | 1,419$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Marlins | 4c | 1,309$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.98 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Yankees | 35c | 1,275$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.8 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 2c | 1,219$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.74 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Marlins | 50c | 1,202$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.92 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 21c | 1,178$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.48 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Marlins | 38c | 1,105$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.09 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Yankees | 59c | 1,100$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…0293backed Marlins | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…342cbacked Marlins | 48c | 1,087$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Marlins | 38c | 1,041$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.39 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Marlins | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…ab8abacked Marlins | 39c | 999.98$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Marlins | 38c | 999.96$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.97 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 45c | 889.11$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yankees | 27c | 851.85$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.95 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 50c | 844.15$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.67 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 39c | 693.65$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.4 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Marlins | 24c | 674.99$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.04 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Marlins | 21c | 665.27$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.81 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Marlins | 4c | 644.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.68 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Marlins | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Yankees | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Yankees | 61c | 572.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.52 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yankees | 60c | 559$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.4 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Marlins | 9c | 532.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.95 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Marlins | 18c | 528.17$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.45 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Marlins | 5c | 527.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yankees | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…f15abacked Yankees | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Yankees | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Yankees | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Marlins | 13c | 499.32$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.41 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +300.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Yankees | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marlins | 15c | 491.46$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.46 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1c…5386backed Marlins | 39c | 479.99$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Marlins | 78c | 459.15$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yankees | 60c | 400.01$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.11 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yankees | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Marlins | 77c | 389.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba4…0caabacked Yankees | 67c | 369.62$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.48 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yankees | 55c | 364$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 38c | 349.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Yankees | 72c | 344$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.16 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marlins | 40c | 334.16$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.09 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Marlins | 5c | 333.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.33 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins | 39c | 333.33$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.33 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc0…7aefbacked Yankees | 62c | 323.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Marlins | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Marlins | 39c | 299.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Yankees | 62c | 299.31$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.57 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Marlins | 5c | 287.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.14 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Marlins | 36c | 280.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.05 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Marlins | 39c | 271.79$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.79 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Marlins | 44c | 268$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.08 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…6efcbacked Yankees | 59c | 262.61$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.93 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Marlins | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Marlins | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Yankees | 56c | 241.07$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.87 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed Marlins | 46c | 223.42$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…0f19backed Marlins | 48c | 221.92$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.66 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Marlins | 39c | 220$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Marlins | 64c | 208.79$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Yankees | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Marlins | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.41 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.35 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Yankees | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Yankees | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Marlins | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.