TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Mariners vs. Angels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marinersof Mariners, Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$678,873
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$714,458

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $678,873 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ee1…dae8backed Mariners44c162,692$71,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,235.096456.3%36 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Angels44c51,126$22,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,674.0686751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1752…7993backed Angels56c45,454$25,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,454.2413262.9%83 W · 49 L+12.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+93.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4dae…f8b2backed Mariners57c44,220$25,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,945.8713352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Angels56c34,800$19,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,48822852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Angels56c32,297$18,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,044.1750852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Angels39c25,961$10,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,139.2297950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Mariners44c22,727$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,727.2728646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Angels56c21,941$12,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,286.9560249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Mariners46c20,000$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,799.9853150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Mariners43c14,000$6,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,98023545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Angels37c12,678$4,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,648.7538444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Angels56c10,260$5,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,745.7748254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Angels59c10,161$5,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,995.116747.9%80 W · 87 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6dc…6b7ebacked Angels0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2a…add1backed Mariners44c8,325$3,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6621241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x441d…4d70backed Angels57c8,100$4,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5912437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Mariners31c7,430$2,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,133.941747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Mariners31c6,457$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,456.8529240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Angels56c6,068$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,40035952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Angels56c6,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,359.991,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Angels56c5,176$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,920.2726355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Angels56c5,156$2,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,887.912,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Mariners41c4,724$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,809.6819239.1%75 W · 117 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Mariners44c4,232$1,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,383.456550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Mariners44c3,706$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,069.5271751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Angels56c3,543$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,983.981,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Mariners31c3,129$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,15615642.9%67 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Angels18c3,092$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.061,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Mariners45c2,772$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.3925454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Angels57c2,700$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.9938249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Angels56c2,627$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47133554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed Angels35c2,621$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.7721767.7%147 W · 70 L+36.1wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x86e9…fa1dbacked Mariners38c2,600$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.766154.1%33 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Mariners42c2,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45012939.5%51 W · 78 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Mariners77c2,343$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.2814966.4%99 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Angels55c2,300$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.7695850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Angels57c2,221$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.936443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Mariners48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.221,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Angels38c2,010$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.8743946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Angels56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12041643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Angels56c1,980$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.9915944%70 W · 89 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Mariners34c1,927$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.8254941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Angels38c1,921$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.156,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4e…4e46backed Mariners47c1,900$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Mariners41c1,836$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.6531248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Angels54c1,757$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.41,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Angels55c1,698$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.1319742.6%84 W · 113 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Angels59c1,686$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.9832852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mariners33c1,543$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.79,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Angels24c1,505$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.6217927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Angels27c1,408$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.5995930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners30c1,375$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9642,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Mariners32c1,093$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.331,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Mariners47c1,091$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.2418349.2%90 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27d1…a3e4backed Mariners31c1,036$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.511526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Angels57c1,029$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.341,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Mariners73c1,010$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.3421246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Mariners35c1,003$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.8461346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Mariners33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.412,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Angels60c1,000$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.567651.3%39 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Angels57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5705648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Mariners42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5804751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x879e…94e4backed Angels53c955$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.15633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mariners42c952.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.3888549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0475…3cc5backed Angels53c945$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.85742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Mariners76c940.24$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.7596133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Angels51c935.5$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.18156.8%46 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Mariners31c892.74$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.612037.5%45 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Mariners35c857.14$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.1480955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Mariners73c724.32$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.5725551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Mariners42c714.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.291,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Mariners34c673.14$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.1411331.9%36 W · 77 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Angels58c666$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.287946.8%37 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Angels71c646.42$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.0715644.9%70 W · 86 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51c2…2b13backed Angels59c645.76$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3811952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f90…2bd9backed Mariners42c645.57$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.43837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x206a…8e4fbacked Mariners43c635$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.955100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Angels25c593.37$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7515353.6%82 W · 71 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Mariners60c579.75$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.758153.1%43 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Angels59c570$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.334051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Angels57c519$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.561,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mariners58c517$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.121,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c39…d4c7backed Mariners51c504.43$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.791275%9 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+39.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Mariners47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2651,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Mariners43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28524248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd687…c066backed Angels57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f86…6ca2backed Angels59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Angels53c485.11$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.115,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48ab…9cc6backed Angels59c485$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Mariners43c439$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.232,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Mariners49c404.4$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.422546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Mariners47c400.08$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.0431347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac3…2405backed Angels59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-65.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xae0e…6527backed Mariners38c400$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2482948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bbd…606cbacked Mariners42c356.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.959237%34 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d4b…d004backed Mariners35c348.28$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.2811637.1%43 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e8…fa8fbacked Angels58c345$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6297…337fbacked Mariners43c319$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.832748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80b1…f64abacked Mariners32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.54050%20 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.