Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Lyon win on 2025-09-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6fbb259d402ed79dda1587fe0f6a2c01ada281af637e36247ce24901e4a5f63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $818,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $842,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $818,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed Yes | 37c | 715,764$262,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453,449.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 63c | 185,334$116,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116,807.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 64c | 162,790$103,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,952.15 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 63c | 85,000$53,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,550 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 28,631$18,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,245.72 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 63c | 20,006$12,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,603.75 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 63c | 15,000$9,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,450 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 62c | 9,288$5,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,720.16 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 63c | 8,888$5,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.43 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 63c | 8,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 63c | 6,214$3,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,936.96 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 41c | 5,712$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,370.2 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5744…9093backed Yes | 32c | 4,508$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,067.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +124%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…a39cbacked Yes | 41c | 4,390$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 58c | 3,056$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.08 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.94 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df5…b34abacked Yes | 40c | 2,436$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 60c | 2,399$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.2 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 42c | 2,390$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.7 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 58c | 1,848$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.87 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed Yes | 45c | 1,700$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 44c | 1,686$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.56 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0454…859ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,539$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed No | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…d2cfbacked Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 42c | 1,170$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.75 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 68c | 1,143$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 59c | 1,102$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.95 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 58c | 905.8$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…bedfbacked Yes | 37c | 867.39$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed No | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…1eecbacked Yes | 44c | 796.39$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 59c | 768.99$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.7 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 731.62$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.58 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 36c | 700$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 40c | 545.16$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.17 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 40c | 498$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc585…252dbacked Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed Yes | 37c | 462.16$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 39c | 459.11$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.11 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 59c | 454.4$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.41 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…9303backed Yes | 46c | 427.11$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 39c | 360.73$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.78 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…b17ebacked Yes | 39c | 332.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.14 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…fa33backed No | 65c | 310$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 61cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes | 37c | 308.11$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.11 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 40c | 302$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…8dd9backed No | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 35c | 297.35$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.1 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 35c | 288.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.81 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…5840backed Yes | 41c | 270.73$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 34c | 269.68$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.68 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…cb8cbacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked No | 67c | 228$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed Yes | 9c | 215$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +175.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…12e2backed Yes | 44c | 209.48$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6561…c074backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781b…ae0ebacked Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 36c | 189.38$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.85 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 41c | 183.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.06 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 34c | 170$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +213.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked No | 61c | 163.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4baf…305fbacked Yes | 37c | 157.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +142.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Yes | 37c | 151.35$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 55c | 150.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…aa68backed Yes | 37c | 148.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 70c | 146.4$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a2…a3e0backed Yes | 38c | 142.21$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf47…326fbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 68c | 119.88$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.52 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 64c | 103.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f13…3a2dbacked No | 69c | 100.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…2882backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 31c | 98.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…2f0ebacked No | 73c | 90$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes | 37c | 87.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…ff15backed Yes | 42c | 86.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…9530backed Yes | 41c | 83.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lyon win on 2025-09-25?this page
- Will FC Utrecht vs. Lyon end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-09-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.