Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-09-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe9bc363f7bfe187b52d4b798b008f66cc2e2eaccc5a6d13cd8ac2d217b2c113
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $386,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $388,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed Yes | 36c | 361,881$131,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131,256.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 63c | 118,044$74,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,276.63 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 25,119$16,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,011.08 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 63c | 9,500$5,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,515 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 64c | 8,139$5,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 35c | 4,444$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.27 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 64c | 3,945$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.51 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 64c | 2,091$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.88 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 65c | 1,163$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.07 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 33c | 1,050$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.5 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed No | 67c | 999.98$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 67c | 905.58$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.1 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…4b40backed No | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 64c | 600$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 65c | 536.65$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 65c | 438.5$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.47 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 65c | 350$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 316.84$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.48 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b2…15b5backed Yes | 25c | 244.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 68c | 231.46$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 66c | 180$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed No | 67c | 174$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 68c | 149.97$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 30c | 147.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 34c | 147.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a2…a3e0backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 69c | 130.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 32c | 127.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 68c | 127.5$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d13…0237backed No | 68c | 117.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 31c | 101.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 69c | 98.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…562fbacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2692backed Yes | 38c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…0009backed No | 68c | 73.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 34c | 69.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cf…f5aebacked Yes | 31c | 61.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 66c | 51.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…751ebacked No | 65c | 32.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked No | 69c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x428b…d8aebacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed No | 62c | 21.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b17…1713backed No | 70c | 21.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…cd54backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-09-25?this page
- Will FC Utrecht vs. Lyon end in a draw?No won
- Will Lyon win on 2025-09-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.