Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f37858c746173751213fdf8efaf1a16ad479cdee1b08249fe14a850d6f8a771
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $750,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $814,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $750,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 352 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 54c | 400,000$214,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185,999.95 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…5ecdbacked Yes | 47c | 286,256$134,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134,039.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yes | 46c | 147,001$67,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,620.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 54c | 53,879$29,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,572.87 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 47c | 34,634$16,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,277.97 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked No | 53c | 25,680$13,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,069.6 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 53c | 21,078$11,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,856.29 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 45c | 19,851$8,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,919.23 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 68c | 10,522$7,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,327.86 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 47c | 10,287$4,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,795.51 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Yes | 21c | 9,121$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 53c | 7,450$3,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,501.28 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 53c | 7,346$3,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,452.62 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 78c | 7,142$5,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.77 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 7,121$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.94 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 47c | 6,926$3,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,264.3 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 53c | 6,726$3,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,161.13 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 55c | 6,561$3,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.76 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 32c | 6,132$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.28 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 57c | 4,506$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.58 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 72c | 4,476$3,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.18 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 53c | 4,402$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.83 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…5a12backed No | 54c | 3,750$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Yes | 13c | 3,543$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.64 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +210.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 53c | 3,486$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.3 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 54c | 3,289$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.27 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x421d…320abacked No | 53c | 3,199$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…d2e2backed Yes | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 53c | 3,100$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.97 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 58c | 3,000$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.83 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Yes | 17c | 3,000$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.5 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4196…f997backed Yes | 48c | 2,540$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed No | 53c | 2,458$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.47 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Yes | 47c | 2,231$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.66 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46c6…a48ebacked Yes | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 46c | 2,170$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.99 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 69c | 2,142$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.81 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked Yes | 47c | 2,017$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,952$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5832…3dacbacked Yes | 32c | 1,844$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 36c | 1,717$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.28 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 1c | 1,700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 46c | 1,588$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.54 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed Yes | 5c | 1,465$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked No | 53c | 1,444$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.68 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 40c | 1,388$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 34c | 1,288$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 47c | 1,240$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 37c | 1,212$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 20c | 1,209$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.77 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed No | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 42c | 1,193$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…f3a9backed Yes | 42c | 1,191$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 53c | 1,118$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.73 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Yes | 46c | 1,074$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,056$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 47c | 1,043$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 52c | 1,039$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.86 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 43c | 1,032$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.71 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked No | 52c | 1,000$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.34 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked No | 54c | 955.56$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked No | 55c | 914.55$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…fa33backed Yes | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Yes | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +7.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 52c | 774.22$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.63 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81f…0c92backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 52c | 760.83$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.2 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 47c | 742.72$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.08 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 717.49$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.01 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 80c | 678$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.95 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 47c | 668.09$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 61c | 644.71$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.87 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…d31ebacked Yes | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Yes | 46c | 614.61$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6b…8115backed Yes | 25c | 599.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Yes | 21c | 571.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 52c | 550.51$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.51 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…15d4backed Yes | 47c | 532.79$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 79c | 528.57$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 47c | 523.4$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb5…44bdbacked Yes | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked No | 77c | 518.86$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.2 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed Yes | 47c | 510.19$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.79 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 48c | 509.83$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.72 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 46c | 467.18$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.78 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 54c | 450$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…ee30backed Yes | 48c | 441.38$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2617…65dbbacked No | 53c | 439.68$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-27?this page
- Will Brentford vs. Manchester United end in a draw?No won
- Will Brentford win on 2025-09-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.