TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6380…e74f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$208.99
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+86%+$185
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$161
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+39.9%+$114
Will Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+376.2%+$126.4
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$961Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$961.4
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,314Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+114.1%+$3,779.28
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$174.22
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$1,120
Will Everton win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.21
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,140
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$235
Will Arsenal vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.38
Will Everton win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+39.8%+$26.76
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.74
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.66
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.89
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$566.57
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$33
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$82.4
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$102.18
Spread: Bucks (-1.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$363.48
Wizards vs. Grizzliesbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+488.2%+$446.54
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+127.3%+$1,400
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,913Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+44.9%+$859.32
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$48.41
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25,582Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+100%+$25,581.5
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.55
Warriors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$688Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$950.04
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$921Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$784.3
All 16 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-21.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$43.89
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.38
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$292.73
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.92
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+100.6%+$464.09
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+239.5%+$514.97
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$413.52
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.38
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$528.5
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+98.3%+$522.76
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$270.19
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$54.51
All 13 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.99
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 Tour Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.38
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 BMW Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$733Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+146.3%+$1,072.1
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2025 BMW Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,096Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,096.32
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+29.4%+$5.69
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$991Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$990.55
Will Cameron Young win the 2025 Wyndham Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+34.8%+$16.05
Will Thorbjorn Olesen win the 2025 PGA TOUR 3M Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+42.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,192Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$794.8
Canadiens vs. Penguinsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$26.5
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$86.24
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,281Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+96.1%+$1,230.88
Utah vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+69.5%+$50.02
Devils vs. Sharksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000.62
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$643Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$643.28
All 7 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Old Dominion vs. South Floridabacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$1,054.15
Pittsburgh vs. Georgia Techbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,297Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$3,297.28
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,379Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$1,128.15
USC vs. Notre Damebacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.84
Georgia Tech vs. Dukebacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,505Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$2,165.89
All 5 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-67.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+64.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+100%+$277
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+29.9%+$163.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,923Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+102%+$1,960.33
Will Como win on 2025-09-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,160
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$995Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+54.3%+$540.9
Ethereum all time high by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,406Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,406.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$217.62
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,429Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,429.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+212.5%+$29.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wichita State Shockers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$637Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+134.3%+$855.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,105Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+49.4%+$545.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$169.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$178.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$133.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.