Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc432f69ae425db068e925e5e228e9a08a19d40080e331eff970338c98c6f322
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x705f…28e2backed Yes | 5c | 7,557$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 9c | 6,480$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked Yes | 10c | 5,119$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…df41backed Yes | 7c | 4,669$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…1d71backed Yes | 2c | 3,964$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.07 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 2c | 3,848$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 0c | 3,611$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…f233backed Yes | 5c | 3,397$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.03 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 2,996$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2008…19dabacked Yes | 5c | 2,927$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 3c | 2,155$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.78 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 17c | 1,679$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.69 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 2c | 1,470$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…392dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,446$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 11c | 1,061$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90d5…af62backed Yes | 1c | 1,001$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Yes | 3c | 879.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…fc4cbacked Yes | 13c | 742.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffd…c854backed Yes | 4c | 737$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 9c | 716.53$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 3c | 606$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e3…d1bdbacked Yes | 5c | 416.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…f545backed Yes | 4c | 403.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d0…4843backed Yes | 7c | 145.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 13c | 133.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…7637backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…676ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September?this page
- Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in September?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in September?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in September?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in September?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.