Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfb987a23e3fa20c3402270f233d435eb8d3ae00ce8e87f759678feee56739e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 68c | 1,467$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 43c | 1,047$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.48 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x88d4…ffb3backed Yes | 74c | 808.91$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 43c | 777.1$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.92 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 8c | 589.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.76 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.28per pick | 14cpaid | +203.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 44c | 493.72$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 59c | 422.35$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.07 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…4bd3backed Yes | 57c | 410$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 35c | 383.54$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.04 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 62c | 351.33$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.83 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 47c | 310.84$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.47 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 37c | 268.79$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 39c | 249.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x120d…710ebacked No | 42c | 235.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 10c | 231.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked No | 38c | 208.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 61c | 203.95$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0df…a5efbacked No | 60c | 190.72$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed No | 27c | 176.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -62%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 73c | 161.01$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 66c | 153.15$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…b23ebacked Yes | 61c | 147.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +141.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c9…96afbacked Yes | 45c | 132$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd0…f582backed No | 25c | 108.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 73c | 100.1$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d915backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…f98fbacked No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked Yes | 72c | 97.57$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed No | 33c | 97.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed Yes | 60c | 82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 37c | 81.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0665…4c8fbacked Yes | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…1bbebacked No | 31c | 76.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 77c | 75.66$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed Yes | 75c | 75.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…ab69backed Yes | 77c | 75.3$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…9a43backed Yes | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…6435backed No | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 28c | 72.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe18…2c3fbacked No | 48c | 68.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 68c | 68.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 22c | 67.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 48c | 62.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked No | 31c | 56.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…94e0backed Yes | 76c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 61c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb5…556abacked No | 40c | 49.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed Yes | 62c | 49.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…c96dbacked No | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc7…cc0cbacked Yes | 55c | 42.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…eb68backed No | 60c | 41.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab69…2283backed Yes | 61c | 39.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…bd6bbacked No | 62c | 32.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked Yes | 63c | 31.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 57c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…566bbacked Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…6183backed No | 63c | 23.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…1666backed No | 61c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…85f8backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…d8f8backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…6958backed Yes | 79c | 13.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in September?this page
- Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in September?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in September?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in September?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.