Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x309db4829a69840ee573e736eb2e789c59629116c1dac607eba3e11434b52b39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 78c | 9,999$7,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.24 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 4,617$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.86 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 56c | 4,139$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.9 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 56c | 3,850$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.06 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e34…9cd8backed No | 55c | 2,712$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 4c | 2,635$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.63 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc0…4cadbacked Yes | 51c | 2,606$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.09 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 45c | 2,567$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.65 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2008…19dabacked Yes | 45c | 2,454$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 46c | 1,600$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.38 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…aef7backed No | 37c | 1,145$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 78c | 1,133$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.84 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…df41backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 46c | 987.84$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.56 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 947.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 25c | 939.97$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.61 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked No | 48c | 817.04$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 61c | 802.95$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.55 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed No | 54c | 800$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…e148backed Yes | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x290b…35a1backed No | 27c | 774.48$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 43c | 723.89$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.95 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 42c | 515.48$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.98 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8e…df64backed No | 58c | 500$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd466…6ce6backed Yes | 48c | 494.22$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 63c | 471.98$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.91 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 48c | 420.51$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.71 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 65c | 415.13$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.33 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe861…e226backed Yes | 48c | 414.04$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -48%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 25c | 402.19$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…8bf1backed Yes | 49c | 395.21$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.36 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 65c | 383.71$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.71 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 60c | 380$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.77 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 38c | 377.43$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.46 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed Yes | 53c | 352.99$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.07 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked Yes | 46c | 349$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…6026backed Yes | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…e72ebacked Yes | 59c | 279.85$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.85 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed Yes | 44c | 261.36$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.38 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed No | 14c | 256.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 33c | 238.59$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.32 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d5…af62backed No | 4c | 225.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed Yes | 67c | 222.52$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.3 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd576…ca8dbacked No | 65c | 216.95$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked No | 54c | 206.69$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.58 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…c328backed Yes | 75c | 202.82$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +194.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad8a…db8abacked No | 7c | 200.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465f…485cbacked Yes | 79c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 32c | 194.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ab…9aa1backed No | 53c | 189.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 54c | 186.01$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.01 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…1bbebacked No | 45c | 174.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked No | 58c | 171.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x120d…710ebacked No | 62c | 161.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…55bebacked Yes | 43c | 156$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed No | 42c | 151$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…6958backed Yes | 64c | 141.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 46c | 140.46$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.94 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +10.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked No | 62c | 132.07$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…6435backed No | 39c | 126.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 66c | 126.01$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 52c | 121.08$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb288…fa0fbacked Yes | 45c | 119.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 13c | 104.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 171 | 22.2%38 W · 133 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe1…5c78backed No | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…6048backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…f9e3backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…4d7fbacked Yes | 47c | 99.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…ae6dbacked No | 12c | 96.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…01f0backed Yes | 67c | 90.39$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 47c | 85.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 58c | 81.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 18c | 80.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 36c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee4…481fbacked No | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 78c | 79.1$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed Yes | 71c | 75.02$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…5838backed No | 56c | 75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed No | 58c | 73.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6689…7a2cbacked No | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…5bc5backed Yes | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x591f…5610backed No | 78c | 63.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…2d66backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…d249backed Yes | 37c | 59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…eb68backed No | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2db…885abacked No | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 74c | 50.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?this page
- Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in September?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in September?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in September?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in September?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.