Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16897add3613647f8db12abc720fe3245cb8b9ffe089fd5fdb68bbf0ae3c7edf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 3c | 2,502$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 67c | 2,366$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.19 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 66c | 2,180$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.48 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked No | 7c | 1,762$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 5c | 1,292$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x894a…3d3cbacked No | 3c | 1,148$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 19cpaid | +386.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1555…7d82backed No | 16c | 954.47$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 60c | 946$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe19…5786backed No | 11c | 899.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9584…e081backed No | 42c | 883.62$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 3c | 858.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 39c | 848$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 33c | 800$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 41c | 767.61$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked No | 2c | 675.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 2c | 638.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 44c | 522.3$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b66…cb8cbacked No | 4c | 479.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 13c | 417.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 26c | 413.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.63 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed No | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked Yes | 78c | 386.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8a…db8abacked No | 3c | 362.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90d5…af62backed No | 3c | 362.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 4c | 337.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 38c | 333$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed Yes | 71c | 320.5$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.07 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 45c | 310$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.14 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 3c | 306$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…f9e3backed No | 21c | 299.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d5…ab48backed No | 25c | 270.79$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 55c | 256.33$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde7…ec9bbacked No | 8c | 238.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 33c | 237.55$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31df…68d1backed No | 4c | 229.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked No | 49c | 229.24$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.58 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…1bbebacked No | 40c | 213.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 69c | 197.88$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed Yes | 75c | 170.45$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 19c | 168.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf5…4e75backed Yes | 65c | 154.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed No | 27c | 150.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed No | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…6026backed No | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 12c | 145.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…6435backed No | 18c | 140.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2657…4af5backed No | 40c | 140.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 69c | 130$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ee…cf68backed No | 29c | 130$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…1181backed No | 17c | 129.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked Yes | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed No | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -62%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee4…481fbacked No | 18c | 111.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…c966backed No | 26c | 102.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…9d60backed No | 39c | 100.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…da6dbacked No | 37c | 98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 13c | 92.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 171 | 22.2%38 W · 133 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 79c | 90.01$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked Yes | 66c | 85.79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 29c | 77.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4db…b966backed No | 27c | 73.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 80c | 68.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14e…7e5fbacked No | 37c | 67.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95c9…96afbacked Yes | 50c | 61.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 32c | 58.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed Yes | 69c | 51.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 23c | 48.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5065…fdbbbacked No | 28c | 47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffd…c854backed Yes | 62c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…6643backed Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…bf81backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9169…e2dabacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…5aa0backed Yes | 70c | 30.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…6183backed No | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x301d…12c6backed No | 37c | 27.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5437…7e5abacked Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6946…59b2backed Yes | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +52%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cde…67d0backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…b14cbacked Yes | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea8…859abacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked Yes | 57c | 18.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0df…a5efbacked Yes | 77c | 16.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September?this page
- Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in September?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in September?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in September?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September?No won
- Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in September?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.