TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x93c4…dca6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
348
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT5463%34 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.18
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$132.91
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$81
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$74.69
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$60
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$116.57
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$160.31
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+155.3%+$621.15
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+148.8%+$148.78
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+103%+$514.89
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$155.2
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,233Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$360.18
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$10.11
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
US forces enter Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.98
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+30.1%+$9.03
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+71.3%+$142.51
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+112.8%+$18.67
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,054Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+125%+$5,069.02
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,848Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,848
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT4528.9%13 W · 32 L-8.2wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-44.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
NFL — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trey Hendrickson play for Dallas Cowboys in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$49.7
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+63%+$82.44
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$688Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+55.2%+$379.52
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will "Polymarket" be said at the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$186
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$29.82
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$26.67
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+51.5%+$30.91
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+150%+$42
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21.76
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$77.5
Titans vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.4
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.06
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+525%+$157.5
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$175
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$664Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+51%+$338.7
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$155.55
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$657Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+73%+$479.14
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.73
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$452.78
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$164.63
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.49
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$521.92
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+257.1%+$77.14
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+75.4%+$63.12
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+488.2%+$62.58
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$969.85
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Netherlands Parliamentary Election: D66 vs VVDbacked VVD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$245.22
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+120.3%+$683.77
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST2722.2%6 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Earnings — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wells Fargo & Co (WFC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$54.6
Will Quantum Computing (QUBT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$19.2
Will Hims say "Peptide" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+29.9%+$13.66
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Will Ameriprise Financial (AMP) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$48
Will Evercore (EVR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.25
Will American Airlines Group (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will T-Mobile US (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will CBRE Group (CBRE) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Will CME Group (CME) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Moody's (MCO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.71
Will Mattel (MAT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$74
Will Chubb (CB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+525%+$84
Will East West Bancorp (EWBC) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Philip Morris International (PM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Northrop Grumman (NOC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Quest Diagnostics (DGX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Halliburton (HAL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$15.38
Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will General Motors (GM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will PulteGroup (PHM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.5
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$152.47
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+113.9%+$227.85
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+27%+$44.25
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$196.33
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+62.9%+$53.34
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+257.1%+$50.4
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.5%+$35.52
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+44.6%+$160.47
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$399.99
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$947Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+262.5%+$2,487.09
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$2,174.15
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+74.2%+$292.89
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+62.6%+$86.62
Will CNN have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$19
Next BLS jobs report by Oct 3, 2025, 8:30 AM ET?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.2
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump talk to Benjamin Netanyahu in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.99
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will Trump talk to Keir Starmer in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.7
All 24 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$25.57
Texas vs. Mississippi Statebacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+37%+$245.87
TCU vs. Kansas Statebacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.4
Oklahoma vs. Texasbacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Miami vs. Florida Statebacked Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Kansas vs. UCFbacked UCF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Alabama (-10.5)backed Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$148
Vanderbilt vs. Alabamabacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Texas vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Appalachian State vs. Southern Mississippibacked Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.7
Georgia vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Memphis vs. Troybacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$6.26
North Carolina State vs. Wake Forestbacked Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Spread: TCU (-3.5)backed North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
TCU vs. North Carolinabacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.72
LSU vs. Clemsonbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$65
Coastal Carolina vs. Virginiabacked Coastal Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Texas vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Northwestern vs. Tulanebacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$38.64
All 19 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L-5.3wins-0.28per pick49cpaid-69.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.57
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$86.21
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+45.2%+$218
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+55.2%+$546.43
Will no Senate vote on an Epstein disclosure bill occur by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$121.74
Will Lindsey Graham vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$267
Will Ted Cruz vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$785Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$784.99
Will John Thune vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$305.35
Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$143
Will Dan Sullivan vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Will John Cornyn vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$58.63
Will Mitch McConnell vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$253.66
Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$179.83
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+28.4%+$111.75
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$171
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$111
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$551.14
All 19 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-66.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Hyperliquid reach $40 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+64.9%+$78.72
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 29-January 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$433
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+170.3%+$119.19
Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Bitcoin dip to $105,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin reach $122,000 October 20-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.4
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$307.52
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$410.7
All 13 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$626Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$626
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$707Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37.1%+$262.51
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$139.18
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$39.41
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$259.99
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+138.1%+$138.1
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.94
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+25%+$40
Will Anthropic’s Claude 4.5 Sonnet win the NOF1.ai competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$19
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+50.6%+$227.68
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$103.17
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$65.72
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+100%+$150
US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?backed Trump Announce Fed · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4.26
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$524
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,329Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+45.8%+$608.86
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$177
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$95.35
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$18.4
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$849Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$849
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+117.4%+$234.78
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+112.8%+$265
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$3,812Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,812.37
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$906Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$906.2
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$488.46
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$234.92
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+55.1%+$176.18
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+33.3%+$100
Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$55.99
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the December meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+58.2%+$413.35
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 8 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-62%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-53.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-78.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-3.3wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-48.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-74.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+69.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick11cpaid-19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 3, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guardians vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Dodgers vs. Piratesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Orioles vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Rangers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+354.5%+$70.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+29.9%+$117.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.