College Football · resolved market
Northwestern vs. Tulane
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e6dd8d8cd02b528cfade3c1610163c3bba9e05434aeeaa4e6287d33c84bd3bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tulaneof Northwestern, Tulane
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Tulane | 66c | 15,715$10,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,328.8 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Tulane | 67c | 15,342$10,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,096.35 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Northwestern | 33c | 13,017$4,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,291.07 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Northwestern | 33c | 12,317$4,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,118.35 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Northwestern | 34c | 9,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Northwestern | 25c | 4,640$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.52 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Tulane | 66c | 4,475$2,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.48 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Tulane | 69c | 2,837$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.71 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Tulane | 69c | 2,759$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.28 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +600.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Northwestern | 34c | 2,044$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Northwestern | 34c | 999.97$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tulane | 66c | 818.01$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.83 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Tulane | 64c | 637$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.32 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Northwestern | 33c | 565$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.8 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Tulane | 65c | 485.71$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Northwestern | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Northwestern | 34c | 396$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Northwestern | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Northwestern | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Tulane | 69c | 298.87$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.97 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Tulane | 69c | 290.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Northwestern | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6278…57e6backed Northwestern | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Northwestern | 31c | 232.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Tulane | 64c | 204.78$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Northwestern | 33c | 196$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Tulane | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Northwestern | 35c | 145$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Tulane | 66c | 119.97$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed Tulane | 66c | 113.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Northwestern | 35c | 110$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Tulane | 64c | 109.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71c…3b29backed Northwestern | 20c | 101.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a43…2fcebacked Northwestern | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Northwestern | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Northwestern | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Tulane | 69c | 86.08$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Tulane | 66c | 84.85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Northwestern | 25c | 80.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Northwestern | 33c | 74.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b9…a5d5backed Tulane | 66c | 73.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac0…b10abacked Tulane | 71c | 56.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f9…f053backed Tulane | 66c | 50.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Northwestern | 35c | 49.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Tulane | 65c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6e…f363backed Northwestern | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Tulane | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…e242backed Tulane | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…b14cbacked Northwestern | 35c | 35.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Northwestern | 34c | 30.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Tulane | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Tulane | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Tulane | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…416abacked Northwestern | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed Tulane | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…0300backed Tulane | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc2…afcdbacked Tulane | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.