TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8087…0300

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 60 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$193.92
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,217.56
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$615.13
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.44
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$123.06
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.84
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.36
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.54
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.52
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$612Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$611.83
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$173.8
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.86
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+72.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.19
Maple Leafs vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21.06
Kings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$14.04
Capitals vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$14.26
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$17.69
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$20.3
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+100%+$25
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$31.9
Oilers vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$61.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$10.58
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+104.1%+$34.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Sevilla win on 2025-08-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$9.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado vs. West Virginiabacked West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+47.1%+$12.48
Northwestern vs. Tulanebacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$7.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Liam Draxl vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+75.4%+$34.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$16.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 16, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+37%+$4.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$13.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $64-72m on 3-day opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+26.6%+$3.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.