TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Bulls

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Pelicans, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$425,883
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$427,675

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $425,883 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 626 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef75…ac91backed Bulls0c36,743$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.49333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-39.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pelicans63c18,641$11,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,807.6165642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Bulls5c17,013$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.8570147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb53e…49abbacked Bulls0c11,514$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7e8…f0b3backed Bulls0c11,490$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe19…629fbacked Bulls0c11,159$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f6…b703backed Bulls1c10,612$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.71616.6%4 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-80.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1adc…cbaabacked Bulls0c10,472$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5930%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Pelicans46c8,000$3,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,319.932343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Bulls25c7,883$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.4931935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3d…ad26backed Bulls0c7,649$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ea…2ba7backed Bulls74c5,576$4,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,126.086563.1%41 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Pelicans40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.9972241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Bulls56c4,616$2,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600.7668642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8de…e12abacked Pelicans46c4,552$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,442.45837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pelicans46c4,367$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,338.4377745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Bulls53c3,778$2,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,004.4536843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Bulls1c3,776$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.194573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ce…a956backed Bulls0c3,637$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bulls52c3,302$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.2296447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Bulls2c3,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.61,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c61…15c0backed Bulls54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Bulls34c2,928$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.4561532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Bulls1c2,868$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4825016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Bulls2c2,804$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2518518.4%34 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Bulls36c2,541$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.1726235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls61c2,476$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.13,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Bulls1c2,394$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.41,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Pelicans66c2,344$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.8547656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Bulls54c2,315$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.94254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Bulls52c2,258$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.237954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Bulls53c2,096$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.5350245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans42c2,077$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.55,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dcf…7400backed Pelicans54c1,858$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.546855.9%38 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Bulls54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008851.1%45 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pelicans48c1,845$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.221,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71e9…1248backed Bulls6c1,657$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007622.4%17 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa737…cc88backed Bulls53c1,600$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.941241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+43.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Pelicans41c1,441$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.1161345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Bulls53c1,436$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.1121455.1%118 W · 96 L-1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Bulls66c1,425$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.3425957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b1a…bf3abacked Bulls69c1,246$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick71cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Bulls54c1,233$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66614563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1875…eb5ebacked Bulls35c1,162$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.076229%18 W · 44 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd04a…824ebacked Pelicans34c1,160$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.26829.4%20 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Bulls23c1,113$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25138132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49d5…2e07backed Bulls56c1,073$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007345.2%33 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Pelicans46c1,051$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.6875347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Pelicans72c1,043$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.3234425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7596…b3cebacked Pelicans37c1,004$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.02450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Bulls1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108921.3%19 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6459…c926backed Bulls54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5406634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Bulls54c999.6$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.451,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6af8…bac0backed Bulls5c960$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pelicans31c952.08$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.3549849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e0d…1598backed Bulls13c949.99$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.210163.4%64 W · 37 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4e5…640fbacked Bulls65c942.24$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fca…4657backed Bulls54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7310…ddfdbacked Pelicans46c909.92$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.021353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Bulls54c900$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48651037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Bulls47c841.79$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.317141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba68…ce61backed Pelicans46c800$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4329330.1%28 W · 65 L-15.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Bulls53c800$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42417243%74 W · 98 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Bulls53c799.99$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4211,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e4…54aebacked Bulls70c787.5$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+5.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x58df…76b4backed Pelicans46c686.93$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.941353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x939c…4b36backed Bulls33c673.49$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Pelicans46c647.99$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.6447948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pelicans46c647.98$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.631,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7583…8e60backed Pelicans48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3251637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-33.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7cf9…1289backed Bulls57c597.31$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.734761.7%29 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59b3…868cbacked Bulls16c580.37$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-40%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Pelicans47c563.49$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.6536748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf19…976bbacked Bulls54c542.59$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2932045%9 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f64…326cbacked Pelicans47c542.55$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.553652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6909…36b5backed Bulls75c540.86$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.345350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x967f…3750backed Pelicans48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+61.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x390f…9ef2backed Bulls54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-57.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Bulls16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8025651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68d1…f84fbacked Bulls53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2651118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick48cpaid-69.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pelicans46c499.98$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9989353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2214…5968backed Bulls53c499.93$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.966549.2%32 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf8c…eb27backed Bulls54c472.22$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2556253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Bulls59c454.48$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.0714129.1%41 W · 100 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf61b…f73ebacked Bulls54c438.98$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.0530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Pelicans53c400.23$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.2563555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a8…adcebacked Pelicans38c400$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.516341.1%67 W · 96 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Bulls13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5247535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0280…7305backed Pelicans48c399.98$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.994250%21 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Pelicans46c399.95$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.9735046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Pelicans45c399.25$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22072341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b16…dae7backed Bulls51c394.93$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd52e…2949backed Pelicans32c393.75$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+148%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Pelicans47c389$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.1727246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Pelicans46c387.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.2373445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Pelicans46c387.96$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.9671747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Pelicans31c383.01$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.2729738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e0b…b710backed Bulls54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Bulls54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Bulls44c364.56$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5270153.5%375 W · 326 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.