TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x90f6…b703

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
165
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST616.6%4 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-80.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Spursbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$38.55
Celtics vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$104.75
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15.25
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$39.75
Clippers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$64.5
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$41.41
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$38.75
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$77
Kings vs. 76ersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$59.5
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$64.5
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$99
Hawks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$93.5
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20.45
Nuggets vs. Bullsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$278.5
Kings vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$275.5
Rockets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$59.5
Pelicans vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST+33.3%+$10
Bucks vs. Clippersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$97.5
Wizards vs. Sunsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$99
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$79.5
76ers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$59.5
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$74.5
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$154
Bulls vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$132.08
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2025, EST3611.1%4 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-68.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 31 - Feb 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$46.95
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+147.9%+$350.73
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Jan 17-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+31.9%+$43.88
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$80.7
Will Andrew Tate tweet 140-159 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11.14
Will Elon tweet 450-499 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$284.88
Will Elon tweet 400-449 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+304.3%+$1,804.68
Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$152.5
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$53.75
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$129.3
Will Elon tweet 800 or more times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$263
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$58.5
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$352.87
Will Andrew Tate tweet 140-149 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$47.5
Will Andrew Tate tweet 150 or more times Jan 10-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$37.55
Will Andrew Tate tweet 130-139 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$46.5
Will Andrew Tate tweet 120-129 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Andrew Tate tweet 110-119 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Andrew Tate tweet 100-109 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Will Andrew Tate tweet 90-99 times Jan 10-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$42.5
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST2839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$111.46
Avalanche vs. Rangersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+63.5%+$116.5
Panthers vs. Sharksbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+30.4%+$35
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+44.9%+$10.21
Oilers vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Blackhawks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.5
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$35.5
Ducks vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+30.4%+$35
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$36.5
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+29.9%+$11.5
Canadiens vs. Utahbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Rangers vs. Avalanchebacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST-100%-$163
Golden Knights vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST+37%+$4.24
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12.08
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$73.59
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Ducks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Wild vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Ducks vs. Flyersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$82
Oilers vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$95
Kraken vs. Sabresbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+265.1%+$227.26
Senators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$28.33
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+73.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will $Trump FDV be $25-30b on Feb 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50.25
Will $Trump FDV be $15-20b on Feb 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
Will $Trump FDV be $30-35b on Feb 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$83.58
Will $Trump FDV be $10-15b on Feb 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$35.5
Will $Trump FDV be $20-25b on Feb 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+1,233.3%+$462.5
Will $Trump FDV be $35-40b on Feb 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$35.45
Will $Trump FDV be $40-45b on Feb 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$23.51
Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+300%+$112.5
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2025, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$65.6
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-79%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+59.7%+$56.1
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$79
Commanders vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$434.14
Packers vs. Eaglesbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+244.8%+$212.99
All 6 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dvalishvili vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Nurmagomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$440.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio State vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$53.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yoon arrested by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$341.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.