NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. 76ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x976dba40361ef7d0cd55d01d63d9f0cedf1f9229413a7bbc0be31ba637d791a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $414,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $447,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $414,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked 76ers | 29c | 53,780$15,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,686.42 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Nuggets | 75c | 42,613$31,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,832.67 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Nuggets | 77c | 18,123$13,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,165.95 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked 76ers | 33c | 13,290$4,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,419.01 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed 76ers | 23c | 8,011$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.1 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers | 16c | 7,507$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.03 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Nuggets | 77c | 7,500$5,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.92 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6660…647cbacked 76ers | 22c | 6,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 76c | 5,535$4,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.84 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Nuggets | 78c | 5,126$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.63 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked 76ers | 37c | 4,697$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.84 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed 76ers | 22c | 4,600$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Nuggets | 77c | 4,477$3,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.14 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad8…da84backed Nuggets | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +209.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Nuggets | 79c | 3,545$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.77 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Nuggets | 66c | 3,463$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.14 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers | 24c | 3,219$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.13 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed 76ers | 7c | 3,208$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.05 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed 76ers | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed 76ers | 23c | 2,770$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.16 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed 76ers | 30c | 2,705$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.35 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed 76ers | 22c | 2,609$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.15 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Nuggets | 78c | 2,600$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3656…d458backed Nuggets | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…47e9backed Nuggets | 77c | 1,898$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.57 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…cc0dbacked 76ers | 22c | 1,890$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed 76ers | 30c | 1,800$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.89 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed 76ers | 30c | 1,798$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.33 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed 76ers | 22c | 1,786$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Nuggets | 77c | 1,658$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.16 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Nuggets | 78c | 1,640$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked 76ers | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae0…cf6abacked 76ers | 22c | 1,400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nuggets | 77c | 1,377$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.7 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…9d94backed 76ers | 22c | 1,350$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Nuggets | 78c | 1,281$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.43 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed 76ers | 24c | 1,233$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.65 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed 76ers | 21c | 1,193$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.52 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5755…d1babacked Nuggets | 80c | 1,188$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 78cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed 76ers | 30c | 1,180$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Nuggets | 60c | 1,168$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.26 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Nuggets | 52c | 1,116$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.74 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nuggets | 79c | 1,100$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed 76ers | 23c | 1,087$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Nuggets | 77c | 1,069$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.86 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed 76ers | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed 76ers | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…5535backed 76ers | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed 76ers | 22c | 1,000$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed 76ers | 22c | 1,000$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed 76ers | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Nuggets | 77c | 987.34$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.09 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed 76ers | 23c | 930$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.9 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81a…1643backed Nuggets | 77c | 907.53$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.73 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Nuggets | 76c | 900.08$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.88 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked 76ers | 22c | 900$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.53 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2e…6bbbbacked 76ers | 29c | 891.82$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Nuggets | 78c | 883.66$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.25 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…06b9backed 76ers | 26c | 876.38$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.9 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked 76ers | 23c | 869.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…a4ccbacked 76ers | 60c | 864.36$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.61 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 78c | 800.6$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.43 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…003ebacked 76ers | 23c | 800$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4475…0d28backed Nuggets | 77c | 752.27$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…7535backed Nuggets | 77c | 749.97$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.49 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Nuggets | 61c | 671.18$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.76 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Nuggets | 75c | 611.92$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.77 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed 76ers | 34c | 588.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed 76ers | 3c | 575$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed 76ers | 22c | 555.89$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7679…8c3abacked 76ers | 13c | 521.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfc…0655backed 76ers | 45c | 514.66$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Nuggets | 79c | 512.69$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.61 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked 76ers | 25c | 504.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked 76ers | 17c | 500$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked 76ers | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…846cbacked 76ers | 23c | 477.94$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed 76ers | 16c | 447.44$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.59 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed 76ers | 23c | 441.53$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.55 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked 76ers | 23c | 440$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffd…d225backed 76ers | 23c | 434.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Nuggets | 76c | 433.07$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.02 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked 76ers | 23c | 429$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed 76ers | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…6132backed 76ers | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed 76ers | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Nuggets | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed 76ers | 27c | 394.65$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.04 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Nuggets | 75c | 374.56$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.64 | 286 | 57.3%164 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e4…2cb4backed Nuggets | 79c | 370.84$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked 76ers | 22c | 370.54$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.81 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed 76ers | 29c | 369.2$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.89 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed 76ers | 10c | 360.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373c…2456backed Nuggets | 78c | 350.99$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…6b67backed Nuggets | 78c | 350$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…206abacked Nuggets | 79c | 339.35$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0d…1598backed Nuggets | 63c | 325$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked 76ers | 15c | 320.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Nuggets | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Nuggets | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.