NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09bb292f5990c2f1771b4eb3b63753baba8d2fa6cb4a02bcf29a1a4a0d2f8b2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Flyers, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Islanders | 1c | 1,666$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Islanders | 1c | 1,423$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders | 55c | 1,031$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.6 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Islanders | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Islanders | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Flyers | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Islanders | 54c | 801.87$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.01 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flyers | 45c | 726.67$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.07 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Islanders | 55c | 655$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.25 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Flyers | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Islanders | 55c | 435.76$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f3…3c23backed Islanders | 59c | 372.88$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Flyers | 45c | 299.96$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.98 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Flyers | 45c | 298.63$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.25 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Islanders | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Islanders | 17c | 233.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Islanders | 54c | 223.05$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Flyers | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Islanders | 19c | 129.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…40c1backed Islanders | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Flyers | 21c | 126.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Islanders | 55c | 121.22$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc422…3247backed Islanders | 56c | 117.86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Flyers | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Flyers | 50c | 111$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Flyers | 46c | 109.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…c4f7backed Flyers | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2235…d67fbacked Flyers | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Flyers | 46c | 104$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Flyers | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Flyers | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Flyers | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3065…8880backed Flyers | 45c | 97.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 53c | 95.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a15…d19bbacked Islanders | 56c | 94.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc2…3c8dbacked Flyers | 45c | 92.74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…99dfbacked Islanders | 56c | 92.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Flyers | 44c | 91.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…a376backed Islanders | 56c | 87.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Flyers | 46c | 87.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Islanders | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Islanders | 55c | 70.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Flyers | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ba…f903backed Islanders | 57c | 64.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Islanders | 55c | 54.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Flyers | 46c | 54.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…1582backed Flyers | 46c | 51.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Islanders | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Flyers | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…52c5backed Islanders | 55c | 48.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de5…4d5dbacked Islanders | 55c | 43.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf687…a9c3backed Islanders | 55c | 41.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…a755backed Flyers | 44c | 40.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb8…e8c0backed Flyers | 45c | 40.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8175…e4b8backed Islanders | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…b0fdbacked Flyers | 45c | 38.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Flyers | 45c | 38.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…a8bdbacked Islanders | 55c | 37.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa37b…0ecabacked Flyers | 44c | 37.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd7…0579backed Islanders | 56c | 37.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…0b2dbacked Islanders | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ab…2f36backed Islanders | 55c | 33.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f5…3eaabacked Flyers | 45c | 33.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3edc…2a14backed Islanders | 55c | 33.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…2e43backed Flyers | 46c | 32.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…863abacked Flyers | 44c | 32.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b69…86bebacked Islanders | 57c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa216…7c71backed Islanders | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…3607backed Flyers | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…c90fbacked Flyers | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d55…2c63backed Flyers | 45c | 29.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…e649backed Flyers | 45c | 29.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5493…9ecdbacked Islanders | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…3c5bbacked Islanders | 55c | 28.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3799…3f44backed Islanders | 55c | 28.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…05f2backed Flyers | 44c | 28.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +80%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffcf…befebacked Flyers | 45c | 27.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2be…0817backed Islanders | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…0c05backed Flyers | 45c | 27.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d1…aac8backed Flyers | 44c | 25.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb067…4362backed Flyers | 45c | 25.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4c…b380backed Flyers | 46c | 25.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6d…91a0backed Islanders | 56c | 25.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b53…9bd1backed Islanders | 56c | 24.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…dda2backed Flyers | 46c | 24.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a02…db8abacked Flyers | 46c | 24.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…3bacbacked Islanders | 55c | 24.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb522…ff99backed Islanders | 56c | 24.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…bd65backed Flyers | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…c6c4backed Flyers | 46c | 22.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…8845backed Islanders | 56c | 22.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…505fbacked Islanders | 56c | 22.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3370…5cecbacked Islanders | 56c | 22.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…75e1backed Islanders | 56c | 22.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…1b78backed Islanders | 58c | 22.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff6…d1e0backed Flyers | 46c | 21.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…645abacked Islanders | 55c | 21.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e87…3587backed Islanders | 56c | 20.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdb…22debacked Islanders | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…3480backed Islanders | 56c | 18.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.