TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Ducks vs. Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ducksof Ducks, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,849
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,341

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,849 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8fe7…4f20backed Ducks19c5,168$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,185.6924546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hurricanes32c2,390$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.7892848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Ducks44c1,984$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.981,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8729…9a8dbacked Hurricanes40c1,386$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.31471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Hurricanes79c1,285$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.961,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Hurricanes3c1,100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hurricanes73c1,000$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7251,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hurricanes49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Hurricanes69c857.66$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.051,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ducks52c695.46$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.2991334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Ducks45c654.29$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.8618237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Hurricanes45c642.95$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.324045%18 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Hurricanes63c555.56$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3508744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Hurricanes28c538.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Ducks45c495.72$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.6513361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf65e…a55abacked Ducks80c479.47$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.893754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a1e…e707backed Hurricanes61c478.09$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.79580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+54.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Ducks36c439.06$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28114949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hurricanes58c420.62$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.683,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Ducks20c399.7$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.768537.6%32 W · 53 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…f35ebacked Hurricanes26c391.97$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.39450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+132%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb24…a17bbacked Ducks77c390.22$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.222373.9%17 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Hurricanes76c304.99$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23372444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Ducks52c302.38$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.0731334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f6…b703backed Hurricanes15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Ducks72c278.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3511365.5%74 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb54e…8f34backed Hurricanes65c247.16$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Ducks25c236.61$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.6162944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Hurricanes79c173.19$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.8235545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Ducks67c167.07$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1344848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Hurricanes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009861.2%60 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7a7…f445backed Ducks20c152.66$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.131233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b68…795bbacked Ducks20c150$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1204839.6%19 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7524…2149backed Ducks23c143.04$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.714245.2%19 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked Ducks70c138.33$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Ducks43c129.16$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.281,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Ducks23c109.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.987444.6%33 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf934…9f73backed Hurricanes63c106.31$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.985046%23 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Ducks67c104.48$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.483650%18 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Ducks38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6250857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Ducks80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207651.3%39 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7941…c675backed Hurricanes58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.821838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Ducks21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.249547.4%45 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfac8…7a9ebacked Hurricanes54c92.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9a3…45b3backed Ducks22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.91650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+43.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Hurricanes53c88.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.169554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Hurricanes44c85$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Hurricanes80c80.63$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.511951.3%61 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c33…c968backed Ducks45c77.68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Ducks21c75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.251136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Ducks21c72.59$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0884051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c0b…fff5backed Ducks21c71.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.43333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+58.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa891…9ebabacked Ducks22c68.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.185100%5 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+173.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcc25…4d73backed Ducks40c62.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x279d…a1a5backed Ducks21c56.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.39616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb558…6d77backed Ducks73c55.06$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.062166.7%14 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8755…9d5cbacked Ducks39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.282857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8f9…7e50backed Ducks20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+87%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd380…62d6backed Ducks21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+66.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbfe…5247backed Hurricanes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe981…7a92backed Hurricanes59c39.45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x526d…bea8backed Ducks41c39.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83f9…912cbacked Ducks38c39.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.27771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+56.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x254f…78e8backed Hurricanes64c39.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2725…4b2abacked Hurricanes64c39.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f29…68e9backed Ducks35c37$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.05475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+49.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x789c…3b85backed Ducks44c35.69$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.991275%9 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbda8…3c72backed Hurricanes59c30.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ab…591dbacked Hurricanes74c30.46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.55560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0523…7ad4backed Hurricanes76c30.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.91425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ba5…3607backed Ducks38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.66640.9%27 W · 39 L-8.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9d09…1714backed Ducks39c29.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd4…ac9abacked Hurricanes80c25.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3905…eee1backed Hurricanes80c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick76cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b8…2449backed Hurricanes80c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010255.9%57 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x730c…8350backed Ducks80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe570…8b40backed Hurricanes77c24.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1860%0 W · 6 L-3.4wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0d1d…43eabacked Hurricanes74c20.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b6b…367cbacked Hurricanes77c20.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9228…e41abacked Hurricanes80c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165435.2%19 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x728a…df6cbacked Hurricanes77c18.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…f054backed Hurricanes74c18.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x260b…0329backed Hurricanes76c17.56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3540%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x622c…a49ebacked Hurricanes77c16.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf79…fed6backed Hurricanes65c15.91$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+67.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x785b…d8efbacked Hurricanes80c15.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.04650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4272…193fbacked Hurricanes80c13.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d7b…6a7abacked Hurricanes77c13.01$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.02450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3c…7371backed Hurricanes80c12.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x581b…ea27backed Ducks80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.