TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb13d…f35e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
32
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$367.49
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$329.85
76ers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$755Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+33.3%+$251.2
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+40.8%+$410.53
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$683Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+47.1%+$321.63
Nets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST-100%-$654.83
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST-100%-$360
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST+122.2%+$110
Suns vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST+106.9%+$543.78
Heat vs. Clippersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40.3
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+75.4%+$49.45
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$13.44
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+222.6%+$1,035
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+47.1%+$65.37
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$307.5
Pelicans vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+25%+$117.68
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+132%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Bluesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST-100%-$273
Panthers vs. Devilsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,244Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST+113.8%+$1,415.29
Panthers vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,397Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+614.3%+$8,584.07
Ducks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$103.39
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+233.3%+$175
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+132.6%+$285
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UAB Blazers vs. South Florida Bullsbacked UAB Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+122.9%+$463.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$115.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane International: Marie Bouzkova vs Paula Badosabacked Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$250.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.