TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,906
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,197

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,906 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes60c6,516$3,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,908.6222744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No40c4,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No40c3,999$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.598750.6%44 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes58c3,660$2,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,116.0840254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No62c3,294$2,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.8679650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.9541437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No60c2,571$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.5137841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0fd…a7dabacked No39c2,440$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.161080%8 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+61.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed No42c2,394$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.211638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes45c2,204$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes61c2,018$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.7832158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No41c1,986$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.6868026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f9…833abacked Yes60c1,570$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.31030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Yes61c1,564$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.293545.7%16 W · 19 L-7.2wins-0.21per pick66cpaid-38.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked Yes59c1,491$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.235646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked No39c1,487$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.198145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Yes38c1,341$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.965141.2%21 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes61c1,311$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8005740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes57c1,200$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68415337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes33c1,193$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.993360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes41c1,188$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.0529044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No62c1,185$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.3615347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc693…c4e0backed Yes58c1,109$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.03425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…f35ebacked No40c1,100$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No39c999.98$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.9916660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Yes61c983.57$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.922454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x047b…ef6fbacked Yes47c900$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4253360.6%20 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa075…09fdbacked Yes60c809.43$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.664637%17 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70de…a1f3backed No42c710$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.88047.5%38 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed No45c652$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.683666.7%24 W · 12 L+8.6wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+89.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x8637…9657backed No40c625.98$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.593762.2%23 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Yes48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004555.6%25 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e96…fedebacked Yes40c601.98$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4167…2427backed No70c598.21$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.461435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No47c545.25$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.3337652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x50ac…00a0backed Yes59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes24c501.29$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3666031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Yes60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006838.2%26 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No39c466$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.8483459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed No67c445.77$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.7742862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf713…a97bbacked Yes58c431.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03d5…a3d0backed Yes59c430.69$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.11650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed51…9147backed Yes58c407.66$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.991735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x91c0…846cbacked Yes25c404$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed No70c383.65$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.425550.9%28 W · 27 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a31…fed2backed Yes58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked No5c334.44$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.727839.7%31 W · 47 L+15.6wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+437.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No39c308$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.8856158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes60c291.67$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17539561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Yes59c279.94$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.011145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick68cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe5a4…5c91backed Yes60c275$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d20…4c8abacked Yes25c273.48$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Yes58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1452050%10 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Yes6c242$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.583215.6%5 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-66.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No39c233$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.9259958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x64ad…3050backed Yes61c222.75$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.881233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed No44c221.98$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.3117143.3%74 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x073f…070ebacked Yes40c219.3$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91c…71f4backed Yes40c212.5$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-39.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda55…f1fcbacked Yes41c212.07$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No40c207.23$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.3440046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f46…a5a1backed Yes42c206.83$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No39c204.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7160557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11627752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked No41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1185644.6%25 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No42c199.97$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9937054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2806…6de8backed Yes59c189.29$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e0…56bcbacked No42c185.64$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+86.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71e9…1248backed Yes58c173.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf305…4c09backed Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No76c168.86$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7534251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4135…c599backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e68…c503backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x975e…3b74backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e8…5b74backed Yes60c166.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.751040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b48…51d0backed No40c154.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes53c139.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.618232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa64a…21dabacked Yes20c138$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.63737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa004…290ebacked Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503040%12 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd91e…8c31backed No45c134.47$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+66%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e97…b339backed No44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.23145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397f…c0edbacked Yes43c116.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95c8…9143backed Yes35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54bf…deaebacked Yes60c110.97$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e3a…c82dbacked Yes42c109$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.781050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa610…0461backed Yes17c108.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.62236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1d5…03edbacked Yes60c108.33$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf7f…8995backed Yes58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-37.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ed9…1db6backed Yes58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x215d…8c37backed Yes56c100.53$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-63.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x464e…7bd8backed Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fc…b756backed Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd222…47fbbacked Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4b…5ae1backed Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed No40c96.81$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.084645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.