Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Liverpool end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ada458458ab1772b74fcf7234ac4b8fea90277d1584d35aff485a1a6540d288
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 26c | 7,164$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.61 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 23c | 3,765$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.33 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 76c | 2,240$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.37 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 79c | 2,109$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.86 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,989$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.47 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3726backed Yes | 77c | 1,660$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.41 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 76c | 1,481$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.63 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 77c | 1,069$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.38 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1577…8949backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 66c | 960$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.5 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 24c | 836.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.67 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 73c | 800$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 55c | 775.35$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.91 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked Yes | 67c | 772.39$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.89 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e5…640fbacked Yes | 25c | 606.51$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 74c | 452.38$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.47 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…fccdbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 76c | 395$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.2 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 76c | 382.61$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.79 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 76c | 336.83$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.99 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4135…c599backed Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…515fbacked Yes | 24c | 237.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.5 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…042bbacked Yes | 24c | 205.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 76c | 195$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 60c | 188$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae6…01febacked Yes | 24c | 187.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes | 23c | 172.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 31c | 159.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.37 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…bae4backed Yes | 24c | 140.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +312.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 37c | 136.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.2 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 24c | 130$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed No | 55c | 130$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 76c | 114.46$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 76c | 103.13$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.38 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 35c | 100.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.01 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 28c | 100.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.01 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 76c | 90$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed Yes | 24c | 89.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Yes | 77c | 82.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 31c | 66.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 49c | 63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…9ca0backed Yes | 38c | 53.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4d…30b0backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +130.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed Yes | 37c | 49.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9415…cb92backed Yes | 54c | 42.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547b…9858backed Yes | 32c | 37.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e6…aadbbacked Yes | 33c | 35.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ef…9c5abacked No | 77c | 32.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 76cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…4957backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -5.3wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 51c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b84…12febacked Yes | 79c | 17.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef3…5cc8backed No | 77c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x702d…ecdfbacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e23…a9c1backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8f…6919backed No | 77c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad17…391fbacked No | 77c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc60…518cbacked No | 77c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a41…7746backed No | 77c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fe…6a1fbacked No | 77c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8c…dbe7backed No | 77c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace8…3ef4backed No | 77c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa499…e4f0backed No | 77c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd7…bc3bbacked No | 77c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest vs. Liverpool end in a draw?this page
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-14?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.