TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf713…a97b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
156
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6331.7%20 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,591Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,591.22
France vs. England: France 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$417.01
England to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.33
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$551.78
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,149.74
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$701.4
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$148
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.08
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
France vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$270
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$237
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Egypt leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$460
United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.87
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$240.1
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+1,192.1%+$584.01
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$740
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$203.92
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$99.93
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$122.5
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+203%+$100.5
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)backed Arsenal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.5
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+316.7%+$75.98
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,002Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+33.6%+$1,009.55
Chelsea wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Aston Villa wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.77
Bournemouth wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Southampton win on 2025-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$330.3
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$37.5
Will Leicester win on 2025-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$40.97
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+48.2%+$76.04
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+177.8%+$96
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+253.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.01
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.58
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$234.6
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$345.55
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$169
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$83.97
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.4
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.98
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$588.87
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.04
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.89
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Juventus FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+138.1%+$751.35
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+1,150%+$1,453.5
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$19.6
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$97.5
Will Club Brugge KV vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+244.8%+$106.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+5,782.4%+$3,960.91
Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$64.47
All 25 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-63.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.05
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$150.79
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$88.48
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$189.99
Will Natus Vincere win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$21.83
Will Team Spirit win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$450
Will FURIA win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$14.68
Will MOUZ win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$40.52
Will The MongolZ win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$14.84
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,424Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+112.8%+$1,605.98
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs The Huns Esports (BO1)backed The Huns Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$91.78
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$550
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$235
All 15 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.29per pick28cpaid+99.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.89
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$27.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+103.4%+$362.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$211.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,126Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$2,126.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.