TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Legacyof TYLOO, Legacy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,133,614
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,299,592

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,133,614 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 796 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73e3…1be9backed TYLOO27c179,999$48,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,599.720153.7%108 W · 93 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Legacy73c106,388$77,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,059.2514050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed TYLOO26c70,000$18,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,199.9625255.6%140 W · 112 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed TYLOO27c51,852$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,00023839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed TYLOO26c50,000$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,999.9741649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed TYLOO26c42,547$11,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,062.263046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Legacy74c40,500$29,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,73010142.6%43 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed TYLOO24c31,257$7,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,657.3767041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe40e…9770backed Legacy72c29,999$21,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,399.6917951.4%92 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed TYLOO28c20,776$5,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,717.2411547%54 W · 61 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf886…2620backed Legacy74c20,440$15,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,314.410359.2%61 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Legacy74c20,270$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,270.2722354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed TYLOO3c20,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60030340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e23…e933backed Legacy73c19,263$14,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,200.9312660.3%76 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7295…642dbacked Legacy73c18,901$13,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,103.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked TYLOO28c18,803$5,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,241.365,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Legacy73c18,377$13,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,961.8215947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed TYLOO13c17,743$2,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,301.2118624.2%45 W · 141 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Legacy73c16,438$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,438.3648350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed TYLOO27c14,705$3,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,970.422,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47f8…6699backed Legacy73c14,704$10,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,970.21030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-53.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x648d…1366backed TYLOO28c14,704$4,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,117.241060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Legacy73c13,699$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,698.6333359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed Legacy73c13,417$9,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,622.6912449.2%61 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Legacy73c12,715$9,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4332245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f90…8ed1backed Legacy74c12,697$9,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,301.262955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed Legacy74c12,355$9,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,212.4110560%63 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed TYLOO25c11,917$2,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,978.6888242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked TYLOO24c11,675$2,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800.9864852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed TYLOO13c10,914$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.741,39638.9%543 W · 853 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked TYLOO28c10,714$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.9228538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4f8…4de0backed Legacy72c10,280$7,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,878.361650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Legacy74c10,166$7,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,643.1634559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb78b…2bb3backed Legacy74c10,135$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,635.142564%16 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked TYLOO28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80022449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79f4…c739backed TYLOO0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked TYLOO27c9,817$2,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,664.8941040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Legacy73c9,670$7,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.8925147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1437…3553backed Legacy73c8,219$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.18966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked TYLOO6c8,177$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.1829127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked TYLOO26c7,500$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.9923145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked TYLOO21c7,449$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5831,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x895d…11d5backed Legacy74c7,240$5,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.382142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked TYLOO26c7,199$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.721040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Legacy80c7,175$5,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.8722253.2%118 W · 104 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe077…369bbacked Legacy73c6,849$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.321266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed Legacy72c6,805$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.5213244.7%59 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed TYLOO30c6,685$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.665,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed TYLOO27c6,625$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,77620448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed Legacy80c6,579$5,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.8821854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked Legacy72c6,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6803053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Legacy74c5,741$4,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.5425261.5%155 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked TYLOO18c5,523$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.5236440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Legacy77c5,509$4,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.772,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed TYLOO28c5,054$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.9259049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Legacy73c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.9975350.5%380 W · 373 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Legacy74c4,730$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.7325446.1%117 W · 137 L-17.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked TYLOO29c4,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.8517540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bfe…5bdabacked TYLOO28c4,197$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-73%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed TYLOO13c4,161$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52596545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bef…5e49backed Legacy73c4,000$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0808256.1%46 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed Legacy74c3,742$2,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.6627961.3%171 W · 108 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fe4…d0f1backed Legacy73c3,670$2,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.912252.5%64 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed TYLOO29c3,624$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05035236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b4d…5f4abacked TYLOO19c3,590$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.57941.8%33 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed TYLOO11c3,500$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38511434.2%39 W · 75 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed TYLOO25c3,485$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.1311843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Legacy73c3,382$2,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.1932542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f48…a145backed TYLOO27c3,333$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.72638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed TYLOO25c3,063$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.8532732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Legacy74c3,027$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.0321945.7%100 W · 119 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed Legacy72c2,951$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.866136.1%22 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Legacy74c2,900$2,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76823653.8%127 W · 109 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca7d…26c4backed Legacy73c2,876$2,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.264643.5%20 W · 26 L-7.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-26.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2c08…04bebacked Legacy73c2,806$2,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed Legacy73c2,740$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.7312955%71 W · 58 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f5d…de70backed Legacy75c2,666$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.157166.2%47 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Legacy73c2,628$1,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.0919245.8%88 W · 104 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed TYLOO28c2,576$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7209746.4%45 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1137…e601backed Legacy74c2,432$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.321241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Legacy73c2,385$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.8420745.9%95 W · 112 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Legacy74c2,250$1,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.517162%106 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6536…6ed1backed Legacy73c2,215$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.21464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed TYLOO12c2,083$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018338.8%71 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb875…ac87backed TYLOO20c2,044$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40016949.1%83 W · 86 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked TYLOO11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22069624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed Legacy73c1,984$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.643043.3%13 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5784…e051backed TYLOO28c1,940$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5020…36fcbacked Legacy74c1,918$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.564961.2%30 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6b3…9441backed Legacy73c1,911$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.9711149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee72…1996backed TYLOO27c1,800$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4843145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31b0…69b3backed TYLOO28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa99…933bbacked TYLOO28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…8588backed TYLOO28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f9…cc6abacked TYLOO28c1,773$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.533256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb787…ad0abacked Legacy73c1,771$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.195251.9%27 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61b6…dc2fbacked Legacy76c1,766$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.341471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93dd…2d33backed TYLOO28c1,758$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed TYLOO25c1,750$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.51,40833.7%475 W · 933 L+43.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed TYLOO1c1,738$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247439.2%29 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.