TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Legacyof Legacy, TYLOO
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$360,761
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$401,004

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,761 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked Legacy46c100,036$45,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,249.814050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Legacy47c55,000$25,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,228.6550054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed TYLOO54c34,154$18,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,419.8623839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked TYLOO54c33,241$17,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,950.0115245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed TYLOO52c32,725$17,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,016.8641649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked TYLOO54c30,000$16,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,199.9775652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Legacy48c20,833$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,833.3316443.9%72 W · 92 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked TYLOO52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,399.9923145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed TYLOO55c18,200$10,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,01033343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked TYLOO53c17,145$9,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,086.97040%28 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed TYLOO54c16,000$8,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,639.9830340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed TYLOO54c12,907$6,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,938.32,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Legacy46c12,000$5,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,479.9536152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked TYLOO55c8,702$4,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,763.55,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Legacy47c6,901$3,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,657.475543.6%24 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Legacy51c6,833$3,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,329.2617643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed TYLOO54c6,000$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,24071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed TYLOO54c5,864$3,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,166.5666851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed TYLOO54c5,001$2,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,700.5378639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Legacy47c4,748$2,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,516.4421945.7%100 W · 119 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed Legacy47c4,500$2,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,38518547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked TYLOO39c4,384$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.991,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed TYLOO52c3,341$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750.3519055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed TYLOO52c3,223$1,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,675.823732.9%78 W · 159 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Legacy47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59012956.6%73 W · 56 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd761…56e3backed Legacy48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56024746.2%114 W · 133 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Legacy48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56034559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Legacy47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59019346.1%89 W · 104 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed TYLOO54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62046749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed TYLOO53c2,931$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.433046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed TYLOO53c2,905$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.7226155.2%144 W · 117 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked TYLOO53c2,258$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.733455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Legacy46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.919834.7%34 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Legacy47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.6619245.8%88 W · 104 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed TYLOO54c2,068$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.7157641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Legacy48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0407439.2%29 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Legacy47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06027658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed TYLOO48c2,000$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.222,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Legacy47c1,710$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.348437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f48…a145backed Legacy46c1,648$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.112638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Legacy46c1,648$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.9213049.2%64 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b45…077ebacked Legacy67c1,624$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.439562.1%59 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed TYLOO54c1,556$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.084654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Legacy49c1,550$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79585851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Legacy46c1,522$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.749044.4%40 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed TYLOO55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8251,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75c7…909dbacked Legacy48c1,383$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.316643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Legacy46c1,360$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.8448240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Legacy48c1,349$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.6212154.5%66 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed TYLOO54c1,241$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6703435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed TYLOO54c1,200$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64955941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Legacy47c1,181$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.5863541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffb1…13e7backed Legacy47c1,178$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.341450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked TYLOO54c1,174$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.1149651.2%254 W · 242 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bfe…1220backed Legacy58c1,120$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.439266.3%61 W · 31 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Legacy46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.965135.3%18 W · 33 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Legacy46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.9636450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ab…e495backed Legacy46c1,064$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.621225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-47%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed Legacy47c1,020$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.979335.5%33 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…ac87backed TYLOO54c1,019$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55016949.1%83 W · 86 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Legacy47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53023354.9%128 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5803…7a85backed TYLOO54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401850%9 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Legacy47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53044939.2%176 W · 273 L-0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed TYLOO54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5405944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked TYLOO54c1,000$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5357647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked TYLOO52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5202544%11 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed Legacy47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53030155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed Legacy45c999.99$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55218254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ff0…c7aabacked TYLOO54c899$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.461080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5838…8ca6backed TYLOO33c889.54$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.555152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked TYLOO54c888$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.521,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Legacy46c881.99$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.7685446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5900…0c7dbacked TYLOO54c877.78$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed TYLOO55c855.21$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.3718261.5%112 W · 70 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Legacy48c852.9$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.432542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed Legacy47c851.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.0611551.3%59 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked TYLOO53c850.21$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.7113844.2%61 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed TYLOO55c848.82$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.856126.2%16 W · 45 L-9.7wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked Legacy49c804.52$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.8819849.5%98 W · 100 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9e7…56d8backed TYLOO36c786.98$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.457152.1%37 W · 34 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Legacy51c770$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.33174.2%23 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12f0…6e95backed Legacy46c765.42$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.332369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Legacy46c760.87$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.8750050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Legacy63c750$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.576546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Legacy46c749.35$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.6531345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x607b…b839backed TYLOO54c748$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.92850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed TYLOO54c730$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.216544.8%74 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Legacy62c727.14$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.551,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0acb…05c2backed TYLOO54c720$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.81070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Legacy47c712.77$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.7739157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed TYLOO53c676.66$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.632642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed TYLOO52c676.06$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.5511349.6%56 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c0…9bf5backed TYLOO54c666$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.642860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked Legacy47c634.94$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.5210250%51 W · 51 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed TYLOO54c610.16$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.942,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f9…cc6abacked Legacy61c598.36$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.073256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Legacy47c596.12$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.292,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91e8…f1abbacked Legacy44c582.81$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.8118654.8%102 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked TYLOO35c564.55$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.5398052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc2b…d422backed Legacy54c549.18$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.5719152.9%101 W · 90 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.