TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0acb…05c2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst AI at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$375.36
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.4
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.44
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.5
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters Group Cbacked Weibo Gaming Youth Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$475.95
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.27
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$88.41
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$405.3
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+122.3%+$344.96
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$33.6
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffsbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.49
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs G2 Ares (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$16.55
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$338.07
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$168.49
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.8
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$273.48
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$147.96
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 1WIN (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$447.96
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.86
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.97
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$17.71
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: Nem (-1.5) vs Hokori (+1.5)backed Hokori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.04
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$278.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Paraguay: Second half draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$113.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+65%+$12.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$66.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$57.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.