Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: Nem (-1.5) vs Hokori (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b0bf9dd14af7615b75c2a19bcc5d26653fd3b1439f1efaaaed3e04a49db7f99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, Hokori
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Team Nemesis | 49c | 7,167$3,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,648.13 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…bb64backed Team Nemesis | 68c | 5,810$3,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.18 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Hokori | 41c | 2,275$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.49 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked Hokori | 30c | 2,179$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.17 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca76…0c42backed Hokori | 41c | 2,059$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…9bf5backed Hokori | 53c | 1,888$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…2b8dbacked Hokori | 42c | 1,241$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…7a7bbacked Hokori | 41c | 1,191$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.28 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…95a0backed Hokori | 53c | 1,120$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…86e7backed Team Nemesis | 70c | 876.01$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.84 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Hokori | 43c | 855$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…8904backed Hokori | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…7b59backed Hokori | 39c | 776.56$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0acb…05c2backed Hokori | 53c | 768$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Hokori | 34c | 745.25$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.62 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed Hokori | 40c | 732.5$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Hokori | 33c | 721.88$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.61 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…180abacked Hokori | 41c | 700$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed Hokori | 40c | 693$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…2d49backed Hokori | 45c | 667.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Hokori | 42c | 655.53$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.7 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc573…c3e5backed Hokori | 40c | 628.03$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Hokori | 40c | 623.11$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.29 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Hokori | 42c | 604.69$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.73 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Hokori | 28c | 597$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.16 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…aea4backed Hokori | 40c | 549.63$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Hokori | 42c | 511$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.11 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…4084backed Hokori | 41c | 505$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…bad1backed Hokori | 41c | 500.73$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Hokori | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed Hokori | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…f815backed Hokori | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Hokori | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x173f…e44dbacked Hokori | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed Team Nemesis | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…3881backed Hokori | 46c | 498.73$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Hokori | 40c | 497.78$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.11 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Hokori | 40c | 488$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde41…58bdbacked Team Nemesis | 60c | 474.87$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked Hokori | 52c | 461.7$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.08 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…98f1backed Hokori | 33c | 461.03$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed Hokori | 41c | 458.54$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Hokori | 40c | 425.54$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.08 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed Hokori | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8562…0a61backed Hokori | 41c | 372.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed Hokori | 40c | 371.43$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 363.76$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.57 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked Hokori | 33c | 342.42$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Hokori | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked Hokori | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Hokori | 30c | 267.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.33 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x818c…2911backed Hokori | 40c | 265.22$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed Hokori | 41c | 247.14$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…8479backed Hokori | 32c | 236.66$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Hokori | 39c | 210.26$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 200$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Team Nemesis | 69c | 191.08$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0731…b73fbacked Hokori | 40c | 181.72$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Team Nemesis | 67c | 165.42$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…2a00backed Hokori | 40c | 165.19$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.53 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Hokori | 24c | 162.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Hokori | 32c | 162.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Hokori | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Hokori | 42c | 145.04$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Hokori | 52c | 142.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.23 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…73c7backed Hokori | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Hokori | 40c | 123$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Hokori | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Hokori | 32c | 118.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccf…cd14backed Team Nemesis | 70c | 112.63$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Hokori | 27c | 108.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed Hokori | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Team Nemesis | 65c | 82.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Team Nemesis | 66c | 75.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 73.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Hokori | 31c | 69.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…4243backed Hokori | 40c | 62.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Hokori | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c23…2f97backed Hokori | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Nemesis | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Hokori | 22c | 48.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Team Nemesis | 69c | 35.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x173c…a5aabacked Hokori | 41c | 33.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Hokori | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Hokori | 35c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…5c74backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 17.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: Nem (-1.5) vs Hokori (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Hokori vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Nemesis won
- Dota 2: Hokori vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Dota 2: Hokori vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.