TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7add…7a7b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Stocks, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT6245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: BBP (-1.5) vs MASONIC (+1.5)backed Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.69
Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs Privateer Gaming (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Group Cbacked eternal premium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$569.25
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$26.88
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group Dbacked OlyBet SB · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$430.49
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Julie&cie (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Abacked Julie&cie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will The Mongolz Make a Roster Change before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.42
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Group Abacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.19
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$441.48
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.5
Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5)backed Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$355
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.36
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.97
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.83
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.64
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.2
Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs HereWeGoAgain (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stagebacked HereWeGoAgain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.8
Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 Winnerbacked METANOIA WOLVES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs AM Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$14.07
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs HereWeGoAgain (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stagebacked HereWeGoAgain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$360.58
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Last Bullet vs Kaleido Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Last Bullet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.84
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Fisher College (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked The Huns Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.7
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming: Draw (1-1)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.4
LGD Gaming to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Game Handicap: Nem (-1.5) vs Hokori (+1.5)backed Hokori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.28
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yakult Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$156.4
Game Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs Modo Serio (+1.5)backed Modo Serio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$514.55
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Abacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Roar Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Abacked Roar Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.14
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Inner Circle (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$347.9
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$49.21
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Pandora Kris (BO3) - Tennisi Stampede Champions Group Stagebacked Pandora Kris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Abacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+173.7%+$554.1
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$270
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Team Shpilit (BO3) - CCT Group Bbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.9
Dota 2: Cloud Rising vs Cloud Dawning (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stagebacked Cloud Rising · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.88
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.05
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Aeterna Esports vs TITANS (BO1) - LIT Regular Seasonbacked TITANS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+143.8%+$415.36
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+300%+$398.71
Game Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs FALKE Esports (+1.5)backed FALKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.69
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.06
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$306.79
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.29
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$105
All 19 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+208.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+208.8%+$473.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.