Dota2 · resolved market
LGD Gaming to win 2-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe22012f4f43205e007329542632c6b985f4eaa52727a1084de1abd14e0a636a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Yes | 22c | 74,971$16,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,835.23 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed No | 79c | 54,667$43,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,455.25 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed No | 75c | 9,419$7,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.44 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed No | 74c | 5,623$4,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.18 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a74…ae2bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf496…fe79backed Yes | 14c | 4,531$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked Yes | 23c | 4,375$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Yes | 25c | 4,057$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.43 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked No | 77c | 3,859$2,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.96 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked No | 75c | 2,975$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.85 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Yes | 24c | 2,467$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.31 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 2,359$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.69 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,261$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.22 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…98c0backed No | 75c | 1,766$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked Yes | 14c | 1,601$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…7a7bbacked Yes | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Yes | 20c | 1,205$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.19 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf12…7e2cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,159$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Yes | 24c | 1,000$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 75c | 937.46$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed Yes | 26c | 813.85$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.26 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 4c | 764.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Yes | 3c | 656.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Yes | 22c | 630$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.7 | 473 | 58.6%277 W · 196 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 76c | 503.84$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.36 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed No | 71c | 361.37$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.92 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 13c | 353.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 76c | 317.62$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 44c | 235$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Yes | 26c | 231.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf86…3e17backed Yes | 22c | 202.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Yes | 14c | 199.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 79c | 198$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 73c | 186.91$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked Yes | 26c | 172$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Yes | 24c | 169.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25dd…0034backed Yes | 25c | 165$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc6…b1f2backed Yes | 25c | 148.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 74c | 136.38$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 77c | 108.02$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 77c | 103$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed No | 75c | 86$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 79c | 79.34$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 250 | 47.6%119 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…3fbdbacked No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 151 | 67.5%102 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Yes | 19c | 54.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…37efbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Yes | 23c | 47.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 279 | 52.3%146 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Yes | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked No | 75c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 79c | 40.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed No | 48c | 37.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 75c | 24.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed No | 75c | 16.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 79c | 15.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LGD Gaming to win 2-0?this page
- Team Liquid to win 2-0?No won
- Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming: Draw (1-1)?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.