Dota2 · resolved market
Team Liquid to win 2-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35ca55f6e080fe55eba8d628e7e7d1157f6248591e5385e51e67b60ba0ede4d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Yes | 4c | 6,891$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.64 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 79c | 4,224$3,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.28 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,852$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Yes | 1c | 2,576$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Yes | 29c | 2,476$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.62 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 71c | 2,285$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.86 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 24c | 1,293$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.97 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…8798backed No | 72c | 937.34$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.49 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Yes | 25c | 624.01$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Yes | 22c | 546.13$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.15 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Yes | 26c | 530.06$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.67 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Yes | 4c | 525.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked No | 70c | 503.57$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.07 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Yes | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Yes | 5c | 395.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked No | 61c | 269.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.29 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089f…dddabacked Yes | 14c | 253$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 113 | 63.7%72 W · 41 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Yes | 25c | 205$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 32c | 195$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked No | 62c | 182.36$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…ee29backed Yes | 39c | 180$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 79c | 140.38$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 68c | 138.05$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Yes | 35c | 114.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Yes | 31c | 110.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 67c | 100.22$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yes | 33c | 96.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Yes | 35c | 84.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…e829backed Yes | 39c | 75.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c7…8c1cbacked Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eac…de53backed Yes | 37c | 53.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 73c | 48.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked No | 69c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Yes | 34c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Yes | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 69c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Team Liquid to win 2-0?this page
- LGD Gaming to win 2-0?No won
- Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming: Draw (1-1)?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.