TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,612
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,937

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,612 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x509d…0a6bbacked Under62c14,005$8,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,26667056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Over37c3,296$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.6310521%22 W · 83 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over37c2,803$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.2943442.4%184 W · 250 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcf…056bbacked Over37c2,631$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.623644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Over37c2,603$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.0637641.8%157 W · 219 L-18.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Over37c1,783$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.8134250.6%173 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Over39c1,734$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.3144743.6%195 W · 252 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over39c1,163$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.521,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3802,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under63c999.99$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3651,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb126…9848backed Over37c794.09$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.464632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad1…7653backed Over38c759.65$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.671735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over35c694.34$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.1459248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Under63c689.84$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.241,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Under62c677.2$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.3412352%64 W · 59 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7add…7a7bbacked Over37c633.12$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.061936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over37c626.85$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.482,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Under63c582.69$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.62766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under62c542.31$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.081,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Under74c533.88$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.1811959.7%71 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over39c494.22$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7541749.2%205 W · 212 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Over37c475.9$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.0824235.5%86 W · 156 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over39c417.13$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.8182044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under65c402$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.718653.2%99 W · 87 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under61c383.69$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.143,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Over33c323.72$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.231,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Over38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Under62c290.37$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.344763.8%30 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Under63c287.76$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.472955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over31c277.81$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8518139.2%71 W · 110 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Under63c276.83$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.437160.6%43 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under63c272$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10231650.3%159 W · 157 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Over37c256.51$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.518742.8%80 W · 107 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under60c255.26$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.421,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over19c251.69$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.351,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under65c245.37$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.884257.1%24 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ed…5dc7backed Over37c243.7$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.173953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Under62c199.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763956.4%22 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Under63c190$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.34252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Under65c179.99$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf52e…54fcbacked Over36c160.26$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.691729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Under66c154.85$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.653560%21 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Under60c153.23$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.297865.4%51 W · 27 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed Over38c151.51$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.579533.7%32 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Under60c126$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.41978.9%15 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under62c124.54$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3341544.6%185 W · 230 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb0…f195backed Over40c121.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Under65c106$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.111161.3%68 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.828559.6%170 W · 115 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a84…e21abacked Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Under63c95.82$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4614561.4%89 W · 56 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ed5…8165backed Under67c73.15$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1434844.8%156 W · 192 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Over37c72.65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8814732%47 W · 100 L-13.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Under65c68.53$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9926856.7%152 W · 116 L+1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Over40c68.23$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.581361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+35.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56e4…6ee4backed Under65c67$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.458557.6%49 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Over27c62.54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.89742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c92…5567backed Under63c62.08$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.971145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5349…a09dbacked Under63c47.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4313161.1%80 W · 51 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05bc…eabbbacked Over34c47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1314139%55 W · 86 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Over39c46.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.156317.2%97 W · 466 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06ff…8d60backed Over41c46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.761735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+78.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under65c43.96$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.381,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over35c42.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.881,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x990a…a9cebacked Under64c42.7$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.375366%35 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d72…5f50backed Under70c41.24$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.372157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Under67c36.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0764556.6%365 W · 280 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Over39c34.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.441,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d8…85f8backed Over35c32.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.213534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under62c31.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.19150.5%46 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x45db…08f3backed Under62c31.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.13148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Under66c30.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.538850.8%197 W · 191 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a29…836dbacked Over37c30.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.185154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Under74c29.54$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6836946.1%170 W · 199 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Under74c29.54$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6836647.3%173 W · 193 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2363…1ac3backed Under63c28.36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.49977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x907d…2c9bbacked Under65c27.41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.595263.5%33 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under63c24.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1841651.2%213 W · 203 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4daa…8923backed Under61c23.44$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.143871.1%27 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e4a…1a5cbacked Under67c23.41$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.72666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under77c21.46$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.851,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d75…12a6backed Under65c16.05$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.623756.8%21 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a04…6cb7backed Under68c15.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.035152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.