Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c1628f9556179b4b1bccd8d53bba5eae648b810316806cc9a00c298dc728fc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof VP.Prodigy, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,064 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed VP.Prodigy | 17c | 1,442$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.19 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked VP.Prodigy | 37c | 939.49$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.07 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Zero Tenacity | 71c | 707.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.47 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Zero Tenacity | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed VP.Prodigy | 22c | 633.14$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.93 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed VP.Prodigy | 15c | 520.95$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed VP.Prodigy | 39c | 498.62$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.2 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed VP.Prodigy | 15c | 381.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc332…59a9backed Zero Tenacity | 67c | 365.48$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked Zero Tenacity | 67c | 316.95$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.93 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Zero Tenacity | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Zero Tenacity | 62c | 299.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed VP.Prodigy | 38c | 262.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked VP.Prodigy | 26c | 233.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f59…3a50backed VP.Prodigy | 38c | 154.52$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Zero Tenacity | 67c | 149.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Zero Tenacity | 67c | 139.07$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc97…3c22backed VP.Prodigy | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…67c2backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 133.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked VP.Prodigy | 39c | 132.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…7a7bbacked Zero Tenacity | 62c | 129.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0865…3d2cbacked VP.Prodigy | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed Zero Tenacity | 66c | 105.52$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked VP.Prodigy | 36c | 100.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…ad2cbacked VP.Prodigy | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c6…6daabacked VP.Prodigy | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…b19fbacked Zero Tenacity | 76c | 93.64$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked VP.Prodigy | 33c | 83.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Zero Tenacity | 67c | 78.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked VP.Prodigy | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb2…0b31backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 72.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked VP.Prodigy | 21c | 72.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Zero Tenacity | 66c | 69.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 68.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked Zero Tenacity | 62c | 64.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…3dfbbacked VP.Prodigy | 33c | 60.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…ba9ebacked VP.Prodigy | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Zero Tenacity | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 39.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe109…d36ebacked VP.Prodigy | 39c | 34.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8b…ad3fbacked VP.Prodigy | 39c | 32.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Zero Tenacity | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…9cbdbacked Zero Tenacity | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Zero Tenacity | 66c | 28.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Zero Tenacity | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Zero Tenacity | 76c | 16.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Zero Tenacity | 64c | 16.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.