TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x13af…b19f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
173
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Dota2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT6460.9%39 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - European Pro League Group Abacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Open Qualifier 2 Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+201.9%+$23.27
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.33
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Abacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.29
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked MODUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.21
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Abacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.47
Dota 2: ALIS VENTORUS vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked ALIS VENTORUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.23
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.19
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Lynx (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.76
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Cloud Rising (BO3) - BLAST Slam China Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Cloud Rising · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.54
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.78
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Abacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$16.21
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+48%+$28.27
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Abacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+203%+$66.11
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 4 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+74.5%+$97.05
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+149.3%+$248.77
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 3 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$95.74
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.55
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$45.14
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$33.5
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.18
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.88
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT3148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$7.93
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.59
Counter-Strike: magic vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - HLC Belgrade Pro Group Dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffsbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.03
Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs Team Arise (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #3 Playoffsbacked Chinggis Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.54
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs FarmVille (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffsbacked F5 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+211%+$22.27
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.19
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs TEAM XDM (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffsbacked Rare Atom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$4.12
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Group Bbacked METANOIA WOLVES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.63
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.39
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Ursa (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$11.69
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$14.03
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs ENCE Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #20 Group Dbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.71
Counter-Strike: FengDa Gaming vs Alter Ego (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 2 Playoffsbacked Alter Ego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Journey Group Dbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs ShindeN (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group Abacked Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$27.21
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.13
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.17
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$62.22
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffsbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.29
Counter-Strike: ENCE Academy vs MASONIC (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked ENCE Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2729.6%8 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.86
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.41
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+262.9%+$27.66
LoL: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.37
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+219.4%+$33.66
LoL: Zena Esports vs Colossal Gaming (BO1) - LIT Regular Seasonbacked Zena Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$18.36
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+146.5%+$16.95
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs 7REX (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked 7REX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.51
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+323.9%+$40.19
LoL: Conviction vs Citadel Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked Citadel Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.27
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs TITANS (BO1) - LIT Regular Seasonbacked TITANS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.77
LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Winthrop University - Game 2 Winnerbacked Apex Mission Impossible · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked Apex Mission Impossible · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.17
LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Winthrop University - Game 1 Winnerbacked Apex Mission Impossible · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
LoL: StoneHenge Esports vs TITANS (BO1) - LIT Regular Seasonbacked TITANS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$28.92
LoL: RED Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked INTZ e-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.95
LoL: RMD Gaming vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked RMD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.21
LoL: Galions vs Solary (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.34
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$14.81
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.23
LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.7
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kurds declare independence from Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$68.05
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,135.21
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.99
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.37
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$152.96
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$128.95
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.6
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.31
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.29
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$5.16
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.48
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$665.18
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.22
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$94.97
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.48
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$59.77
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$50.46
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$49.47
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$658Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$496.3
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
FC Bayern München leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$39.8
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.03
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$13.96
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-64.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Miami Open, Qualification: Caroline Dolehide vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$57.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Chris Curtis vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Myktybek Orolbai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.