Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c71f26f9c1fc96ec2c0cb5b1489b132262215c258f201e5d3e0f4afadfabb42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GLYPHof GLYPH, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e91…69d7backed PlayTime | 1c | 28,309$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked GLYPH | 75c | 914.77$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.09 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed PlayTime | 27c | 465.01$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.55 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed PlayTime | 34c | 296.09$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.77 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked GLYPH | 67c | 284.26$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked GLYPH | 72c | 205.35$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed PlayTime | 28c | 199.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked PlayTime | 28c | 148.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked GLYPH | 73c | 147.57$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked GLYPH | 77c | 119.28$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…571ebacked PlayTime | 21c | 117.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked PlayTime | 17c | 103.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4994…3e36backed GLYPH | 73c | 93.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +19.9wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked GLYPH | 69c | 91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed GLYPH | 71c | 81.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed GLYPH | 71c | 75.72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked PlayTime | 20c | 71.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked GLYPH | 72c | 68.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed GLYPH | 76c | 65.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed GLYPH | 71c | 56.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…515dbacked GLYPH | 76c | 52.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PlayTime | 23c | 52.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked GLYPH | 70c | 48.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed PlayTime | 35c | 46.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…cbe8backed GLYPH | 67c | 43.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed GLYPH | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…b19fbacked PlayTime | 31c | 33.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked GLYPH | 77c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed GLYPH | 75c | 28.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1af…e611backed GLYPH | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked GLYPH | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Open Qualifier 2 Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerGLYPH won
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerPlayTime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.