Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x689da2a9c944f575b895463a0e6348ba41c4625b502fdeda89db2400ae670968
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PlayTimeof GLYPH, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked GLYPH | 1c | 9,646$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.54 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked GLYPH | 57c | 911.71$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.66 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked GLYPH | 33c | 697.78$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.27 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked PlayTime | 41c | 534.8$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.26 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PlayTime | 57c | 432.66$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.76 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked GLYPH | 6c | 366$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked PlayTime | 30c | 329.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.52 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed GLYPH | 52c | 319.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.49 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PlayTime | 51c | 281.78$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.09 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked PlayTime | 68c | 278.8$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.94 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed GLYPH | 6c | 275$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked GLYPH | 75c | 259.64$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.67 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed PlayTime | 63c | 254.06$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.85 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed PlayTime | 38c | 196.03$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.46 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24c6…4a55backed GLYPH | 31c | 124.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PlayTime | 47c | 116.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed PlayTime | 50c | 105.16$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed PlayTime | 74c | 98.67$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed GLYPH | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked GLYPH | 27c | 86.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed GLYPH | 35c | 82.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked PlayTime | 80c | 61.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed GLYPH | 60c | 61.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed PlayTime | 44c | 52.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…e007backed PlayTime | 75c | 52.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…571ebacked GLYPH | 70c | 49.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked GLYPH | 64c | 45.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…515dbacked PlayTime | 36c | 39.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed PlayTime | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed PlayTime | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…172abacked GLYPH | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 322 | 52.5%169 W · 153 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed PlayTime | 40c | 28.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked GLYPH | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 122 | 63.9%78 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked PlayTime | 67c | 19.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed PlayTime | 66c | 15.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Open Qualifier 2 PlayoffsGLYPH won
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerGLYPH won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.