CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa81b70a4fffd7eeae5aad9a1a15f91d18fbe9210032c996fe609a6b568024048
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fake do Biruof Keyd, Fake do Biru
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7857…bab6backed Fake do Biru | 73c | 3,504$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.76 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa17c…b2e6backed Fake do Biru | 65c | 3,247$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.47 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Keyd | 41c | 3,167$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.75 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Fake do Biru | 66c | 3,037$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.96 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Keyd | 36c | 2,370$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.5 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5c…a375backed Keyd | 34c | 2,163$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.35 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…eda7backed Keyd | 69c | 2,063$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Fake do Biru | 54c | 1,888$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.46 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Keyd | 40c | 1,805$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.06 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Keyd | 35c | 1,373$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.34 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5f…0689backed Fake do Biru | 63c | 1,120$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.22 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Fake do Biru | 65c | 897.29$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.71 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Keyd | 36c | 892$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.71 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Keyd | 41c | 844.9$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Keyd | 60c | 822.53$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.77 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Keyd | 34c | 638.72$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.07 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Keyd | 26c | 599.02$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.07 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Keyd | 31c | 591.02$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.07 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Keyd | 34c | 588.44$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.72 | 100 | 62%62 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Keyd | 39c | 587.64$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.21 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Keyd | 33c | 586.99$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.31 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed Fake do Biru | 52c | 558.06$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.66 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Fake do Biru | 58c | 556.03$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.53 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Keyd | 35c | 541.5$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.21 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fake do Biru | 77c | 521.5$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.53 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Keyd | 25c | 500.44$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Fake do Biru | 69c | 469.04$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.1 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Keyd | 45c | 442.53$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.45 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Keyd | 35c | 380.28$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.1 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Fake do Biru | 45c | 360.05$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.79 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Keyd | 34c | 314.35$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.48 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Fake do Biru | 70c | 308.47$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.36 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Keyd | 36c | 295.72$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.46 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Fake do Biru | 68c | 252.1$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.83 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Fake do Biru | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Keyd | 32c | 241.3$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.89 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Keyd | 18c | 223.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Fake do Biru | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Keyd | 19c | 210.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 284 | 34.9%99 W · 185 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Keyd | 35c | 200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Keyd | 27c | 174.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Fake do Biru | 29c | 174.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.86 | 203 | 53.2%108 W · 95 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Keyd | 32c | 166.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Keyd | 64c | 153.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.81 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Fake do Biru | 60c | 151.01$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Keyd | 36c | 150.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Keyd | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…8cc6backed Fake do Biru | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Fake do Biru | 77c | 140.53$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Keyd | 29c | 135.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6b…a179backed Fake do Biru | 67c | 132.33$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Keyd | 45c | 129.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Fake do Biru | 60c | 124.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Fake do Biru | 38c | 120.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Fake do Biru | 29c | 118.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.26 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed Fake do Biru | 41c | 117.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.36 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Fake do Biru | 67c | 115.26$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Fake do Biru | 64c | 112.93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…68c9backed Fake do Biru | 80c | 105.65$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Keyd | 38c | 104.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Keyd | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…682bbacked Keyd | 19c | 98.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Keyd | 32c | 96.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Fake do Biru | 50c | 94.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…f7a9backed Fake do Biru | 76c | 90.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Keyd | 35c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Keyd | 38c | 88.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Keyd | 30c | 86.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed Fake do Biru | 77c | 84.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Keyd | 24c | 83.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…3a77backed Keyd | 37c | 82.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 62cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb6…ef3abacked Fake do Biru | 47c | 78.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Fake do Biru | 46c | 77.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Fake do Biru | 52c | 69.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…b19fbacked Keyd | 35c | 68.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Fake do Biru | 74c | 66.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Fake do Biru | 70c | 65.68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Keyd | 52c | 64.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Keyd | 39c | 63.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Keyd | 38c | 63.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Keyd | 53c | 61.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Fake do Biru | 63c | 57.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Keyd | 46c | 50.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7a…3f62backed Keyd | 71c | 49.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1455backed Keyd | 61c | 49.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b4…37d2backed Fake do Biru | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Fake do Biru | 73c | 46.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Keyd | 49c | 45.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Fake do Biru | 36c | 45.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed Keyd | 34c | 42.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…5f50backed Fake do Biru | 70c | 41.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…c22ebacked Keyd | 35c | 41.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Fake do Biru | 60c | 40.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Fake do Biru | 73c | 40.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Fake do Biru | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb4…9ed0backed Fake do Biru | 68c | 39.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Fake do Biru | 47c | 35.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 190 | 50%95 W · 95 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0b…3c12backed Keyd | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Fake do Biru | 61c | 34.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Keyd | 62c | 34.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Fake do Biru - Map 1 WinnerKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 WinnerFake do Biru won
- Map Handicap: FDB (-1.5) vs Keyd (+1.5)Keyd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.