TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
GamerLegionof GamerLegion, Yellow Submarine
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,744
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,298

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,744 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9eca…5a59backed GamerLegion55c11,890$6,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,312.4340051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed Yellow Submarine55c3,253$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.682580%20 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+15.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed GamerLegion43c2,993$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.1655147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Yellow Submarine51c2,942$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.647650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked GamerLegion47c2,405$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.980256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Yellow Submarine49c2,142$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.9562841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Yellow Submarine52c2,053$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.6130844.8%138 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed GamerLegion80c2,023$1,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.9456852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked Yellow Submarine43c1,930$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.336759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Yellow Submarine42c1,853$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.7736851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe207…56c7backed Yellow Submarine44c1,777$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.672857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed Yellow Submarine50c1,562$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.0915946.5%74 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Yellow Submarine50c1,457$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.6861745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Yellow Submarine47c1,409$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.625935.5%92 W · 167 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed GamerLegion67c1,314$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.2171454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Yellow Submarine47c988.26$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.1325147.4%119 W · 132 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed GamerLegion50c922.4$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.685841.4%24 W · 34 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x699f…c3a9backed GamerLegion42c910.57$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.952161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine47c901.13$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.152,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked GamerLegion50c750$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37537945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Yellow Submarine44c723.87$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.0154556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed GamerLegion60c670.29$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.4838855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe457…8c08backed GamerLegion50c653.75$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.794748.9%23 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked GamerLegion50c621.13$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.731,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Yellow Submarine46c599.97$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.9950769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Yellow Submarine75c584.31$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.8430356.4%171 W · 132 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Yellow Submarine50c574.52$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.127851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb64c…393dbacked Yellow Submarine40c555.37$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.1829350.2%147 W · 146 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Yellow Submarine55c545.21$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.3732652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Yellow Submarine45c535.22$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.8467043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Yellow Submarine35c532.43$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.451,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0505…5d5bbacked Yellow Submarine47c458.15$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc55…a069backed Yellow Submarine57c410.84$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.377448.6%36 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Yellow Submarine51c409.12$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.4520043.5%87 W · 113 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yellow Submarine48c403.46$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.6661057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed GamerLegion49c395.85$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.9729347.4%139 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f4…fa45backed Yellow Submarine13c358.39$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.412536%9 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed GamerLegion29c350$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.8214751.7%76 W · 71 L+11.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked GamerLegion47c341.52$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.9629240.4%118 W · 174 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed GamerLegion58c337.9$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.9814251.4%73 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf483…3f62backed Yellow Submarine40c336.41$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.0411150.5%56 W · 55 L+14.2wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+27.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yellow Submarine15c327.24$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.577830.8%24 W · 54 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked GamerLegion33c305.31$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2299844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yellow Submarine47c286.29$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.182,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17ca…87d1backed Yellow Submarine52c276.78$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7319552.8%103 W · 92 L-15.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed GamerLegion52c265.75$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.341,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d36…51debacked Yellow Submarine59c246.04$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.885330.2%16 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbace…6a61backed GamerLegion55c232.02$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed GamerLegion52c226.1$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3943647.5%207 W · 229 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a74…e456backed GamerLegion79c214.61$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.182744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd1…2812backed Yellow Submarine13c204.18$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1811836.4%43 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yellow Submarine12c201.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6378516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xbb11…8f3fbacked Yellow Submarine64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12810551.4%54 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed GamerLegion38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12425639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed GamerLegion55c199.51$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7860251.2%308 W · 294 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed Yellow Submarine50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9760660.7%368 W · 238 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed GamerLegion49c188.12$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.0348054%259 W · 221 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed GamerLegion52c187.62$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5246049.8%229 W · 231 L+2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x758f…dfb7backed Yellow Submarine54c180.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2434667.9%235 W · 111 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Yellow Submarine72c173.56$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1991356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb4…9ed0backed GamerLegion58c173.46$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.054360.5%26 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed GamerLegion51c167.65$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.551049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed Yellow Submarine61c159.89$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8955457.8%320 W · 234 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x839f…c2cebacked Yellow Submarine39c157.35$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0519951.8%103 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Yellow Submarine24c157.02$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3736044.2%159 W · 201 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x127e…cca1backed GamerLegion55c150.76$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.946150.8%234 W · 227 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed Yellow Submarine50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7579343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Yellow Submarine55c135$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2547951.8%248 W · 231 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked GamerLegion54c121.32$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.814535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Yellow Submarine41c118.38$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2259556.6%337 W · 258 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Yellow Submarine53c114.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.51,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Yellow Submarine77c113.4$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0218745.5%85 W · 102 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Yellow Submarine53c106.13$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2536654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x025a…6760backed Yellow Submarine46c105.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-47.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked GamerLegion52c102$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1677458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Yellow Submarine48c100.34$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6486451.7%447 W · 417 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked GamerLegion76c99.78$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.891471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+30.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed Yellow Submarine40c97.49$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6935948.2%173 W · 186 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcae3…2a7fbacked Yellow Submarine33c90.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6117…2fafbacked GamerLegion55c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.517373.4%127 W · 46 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d08…5d9fbacked Yellow Submarine54c88.39$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.736845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Yellow Submarine34c84.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8125457.9%147 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Yellow Submarine60c81.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.841244.7%184 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ec…7307backed Yellow Submarine50c80.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.284858.3%28 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yellow Submarine13c76.93$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Yellow Submarine31c75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9530250%151 W · 151 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed GamerLegion55c71.35$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4338653.9%208 W · 178 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79a1…a5cfbacked GamerLegion75c69.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.41060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d1…2f08backed Yellow Submarine35c60.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.146844.1%30 W · 38 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd77…6223backed GamerLegion50c58.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.14665.2%30 W · 16 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Yellow Submarine31c55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8235430.5%108 W · 246 L-27.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…8e7ebacked GamerLegion62c53.69$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.433854.1%183 W · 155 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d1…b4c8backed GamerLegion55c53.14$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.955525.5%14 W · 41 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-32.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked GamerLegion51c52.93$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9341055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2c…9642backed Yellow Submarine30c45.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.425131.4%16 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed GamerLegion53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Yellow Submarine49c37.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.416152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1321…9482backed Yellow Submarine53c36.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.446852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81fe…4089backed GamerLegion66c36.36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3613262.9%83 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc623…9c7dbacked Yellow Submarine58c33.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.536761%224 W · 143 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.