TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
GamerLegionof GamerLegion, Yellow Submarine
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,878
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,337

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,878 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x913c…39b3backed Yellow Submarine68c7,167$4,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,878.7271454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Yellow Submarine49c2,649$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.3847650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked GamerLegion40c2,341$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.3825147.4%119 W · 132 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked GamerLegion39c1,940$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.1636851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed Yellow Submarine53c1,876$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.032580%20 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+15.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe207…56c7backed GamerLegion40c1,835$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.532857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked GamerLegion42c1,666$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.6999844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Yellow Submarine42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.0156852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yellow Submarine51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76511644.8%52 W · 64 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed GamerLegion60c1,139$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.475841.4%24 W · 34 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Yellow Submarine43c1,043$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.8762841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked GamerLegion25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75046240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8384…1af4backed GamerLegion73c842.32$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.711471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+30.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed GamerLegion39c833.57$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.551,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine49c759.04$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.882,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed GamerLegion33c699.84$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.031060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+41.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked GamerLegion54c694$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.2437945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Yellow Submarine48c693.49$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.8825935.5%92 W · 167 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed GamerLegion49c681.32$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.1530356.4%171 W · 132 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Yellow Submarine36c643.55$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.533148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x968a…3841backed Yellow Submarine45c596.37$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.3920939.2%82 W · 127 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked GamerLegion68c516.76$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.6361057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f4…fa45backed Yellow Submarine23c506.24$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.232536%9 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed GamerLegion23c478.48$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.7853634%182 W · 354 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Yellow Submarine51c475.25$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.0967043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked GamerLegion62c470.49$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.321,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed GamerLegion56c467.69$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.7840051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Yellow Submarine37c445.03$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.829240.4%118 W · 174 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56d8…e819backed Yellow Submarine67c412.01$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed GamerLegion35c394.73$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1178516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked Yellow Submarine40c393.89$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9136759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd1…2812backed Yellow Submarine15c390.72$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8811836.4%43 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x672d…dbd7backed Yellow Submarine46c364.93$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3640047.5%190 W · 210 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a74…e456backed GamerLegion63c360.74$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.972744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed GamerLegion27c326.13$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.138855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yellow Submarine38c299.98$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.932,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Yellow Submarine47c297.6$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.3940534.6%140 W · 265 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked GamerLegion73c295.1$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3741055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24c6…4a55backed GamerLegion17c250$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.55525.5%14 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Yellow Submarine46c241.92$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5547951.8%248 W · 231 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed Yellow Submarine33c235.54$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7429347.4%139 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1995…84c6backed Yellow Submarine36c235.49$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.631421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked GamerLegion47c218.41$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.7620043.5%87 W · 113 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed GamerLegion23c216.85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16725639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe999…12bdbacked Yellow Submarine30c199.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018156.4%102 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed GamerLegion59c198.39$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3446049.8%229 W · 231 L+2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Yellow Submarine45c194.51$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3430844.8%138 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Yellow Submarine53c177.9$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6436654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3c5…f095backed Yellow Submarine55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.360660.7%368 W · 238 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked GamerLegion19c168$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.117830.8%24 W · 54 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x839f…c2cebacked Yellow Submarine59c154.59$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8819951.8%103 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked GamerLegion46c139.49$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8892056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Yellow Submarine67c133.79$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2920858.7%122 W · 86 L+22.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xb64c…393dbacked GamerLegion65c131.71$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3229350.2%147 W · 146 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed Yellow Submarine36c130.84$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3279343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed GamerLegion47c124.94$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2748352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Yellow Submarine79c118.72$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2860251.2%308 W · 294 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked GamerLegion57c112.19$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4591356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked GamerLegion55c111$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.954535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd527…ba74backed Yellow Submarine46c105.68$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe705…f910backed GamerLegion49c104.76$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.674348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed GamerLegion35c96$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1430250%151 W · 151 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed GamerLegion54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4259556.6%337 W · 258 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Yellow Submarine29c88.73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6669033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed GamerLegion51c86.8$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2157654.5%314 W · 262 L+29.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed GamerLegion31c82.93$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8635948.2%173 W · 186 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed GamerLegion77c81.72$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5825457.9%147 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf456…3855backed Yellow Submarine43c79.81$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0317337.6%65 W · 108 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13af…b19fbacked Yellow Submarine50c66.32$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.336460.9%39 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc53e…fbedbacked GamerLegion75c65.92$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.681080%8 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked GamerLegion58c62.59$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.26152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed GamerLegion31c58.59$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2425253.2%134 W · 118 L+20.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Yellow Submarine32c52.79$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8686451.7%447 W · 417 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Yellow Submarine28c51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1695841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x127e…cca1backed GamerLegion61c48.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0346150.8%234 W · 227 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed GamerLegion65c47.16$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.31,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked Yellow Submarine52c46.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.287560%45 W · 30 L+9.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe303…401abacked Yellow Submarine57c45.61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.971258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed GamerLegion62c45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2265337.2%243 W · 410 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed GamerLegion70c42.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6334045.9%156 W · 184 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked GamerLegion57c40.29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4377458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa517…33efbacked GamerLegion60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Yellow Submarine43c37.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.061,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed GamerLegion36c36$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1735430.5%108 W · 246 L-27.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbace…6a61backed GamerLegion50c34.58$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.44666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed GamerLegion66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.236044.2%159 W · 201 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed Yellow Submarine80c24.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7638653.9%208 W · 178 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc26…2f27backed GamerLegion74c20.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.283100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked GamerLegion58c19.81$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3235032.3%113 W · 237 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15a7…9725backed GamerLegion59c18.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.483441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a5…bedabacked Yellow Submarine80c14.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.