NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c1ec19a7be3a0da2aeafc2864de5d04136bc3357634f278952767238244385d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $677,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $679,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $677,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 395 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Thunder | 46c | 289,642$133,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156,406.93 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers | 54c | 192,789$104,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,106.22 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lakers | 54c | 143,127$77,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,288.75 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder | 46c | 25,131$11,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,570.88 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…e4bfbacked Thunder | 48c | 21,219$10,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,103.58 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Thunder | 46c | 16,304$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,804.34 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Lakers | 50c | 13,151$6,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,612.37 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Lakers | 54c | 13,000$7,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,079.99 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Lakers | 46c | 12,536$5,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,724.62 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Lakers | 63c | 12,500$7,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,862.33 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder | 46c | 10,870$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,869.57 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 46c | 10,870$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,869.57 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…323cbacked Thunder | 48c | 10,867$5,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,632.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Lakers | 54c | 10,853$5,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,860.75 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Thunder | 46c | 10,852$4,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,873.74 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 47c | 10,653$5,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,642.26 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x031a…50b7backed Thunder | 46c | 9,875$4,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,332.42 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Thunder | 44c | 9,027$3,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,054.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Lakers | 55c | 8,694$4,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,766.8 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Thunder | 40c | 7,875$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,725 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Lakers | 54c | 5,975$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Thunder | 37c | 5,950$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,748.75 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Lakers | 54c | 5,393$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.29 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Thunder | 49c | 5,186$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,648.09 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Lakers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lakers | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Thunder | 43c | 4,994$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,859.01 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Lakers | 57c | 4,737$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8d…95b0backed Lakers | 54c | 4,700$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Thunder | 50c | 4,513$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.91 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Lakers | 55c | 4,213$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.33 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Lakers | 52c | 3,725$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.56 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 39c | 3,686$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.36 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdffa…34dfbacked Lakers | 54c | 3,626$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…0b3fbacked Thunder | 46c | 3,605$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.86 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…60f8backed Lakers | 54c | 3,551$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Thunder | 43c | 3,338$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.44 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x158e…4659backed Thunder | 46c | 3,307$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…52debacked Thunder | 46c | 3,167$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…2c49backed Lakers | 54c | 2,986$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Lakers | 53c | 2,971$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.84 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Thunder | 46c | 2,598$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.96 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Lakers | 54c | 2,555$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.67 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 46c | 2,521$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.86 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Lakers | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x138f…33a0backed Lakers | 54c | 2,405$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ec…4b20backed Thunder | 46c | 2,351$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…dc0cbacked Thunder | 46c | 2,305$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.56 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Thunder | 44c | 2,296$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.66 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd788…16d3backed Lakers | 54c | 2,167$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Thunder | 47c | 2,115$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.48 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Thunder | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Thunder | 43c | 2,059$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.38 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…8756backed Lakers | 55c | 2,036$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Thunder | 33c | 2,026$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.64 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Thunder | 46c | 2,003$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.89 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Thunder | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.99 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Thunder | 60c | 1,843$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.5 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Lakers | 56c | 1,698$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.82 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Lakers | 55c | 1,568$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.36 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Thunder | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.96 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Thunder | 53c | 1,426$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.09 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Lakers | 55c | 1,390$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.29 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Thunder | 46c | 1,337$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.07 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Lakers | 59c | 1,331$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.49 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Lakers | 56c | 1,316$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.07 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Lakers | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Lakers | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7371…4f5cbacked Lakers | 56c | 1,200$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473d…caabbacked Lakers | 62c | 1,129$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Thunder | 46c | 1,118$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.04 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Lakers | 59c | 1,108$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.72 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Lakers | 73c | 1,090$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Thunder | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lakers | 50c | 1,070$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.5 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3056…4fefbacked Thunder | 46c | 1,069$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8a…a5bcbacked Lakers | 53c | 1,035$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Lakers | 54c | 1,019$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Lakers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Lakers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Lakers | 54c | 998.84$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.54 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Lakers | 50c | 998.49$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.62 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2047…9240backed Lakers | 54c | 949.96$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.98 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Lakers | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7630…bf84backed Lakers | 69c | 870.03$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Lakers | 54c | 867.3$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.31 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Lakers | 68c | 789$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.01 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Thunder | 37c | 781.54$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.95 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Lakers | 51c | 757$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.34 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lakers | 40c | 742.63$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.14 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Thunder | 46c | 731.58$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.02 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Lakers | 57c | 705.56$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.04 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Thunder | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…8451backed Lakers | 37c | 681.2$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.26 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Lakers | 46c | 650$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.5 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Lakers | 54c | 644.78$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Lakers | 48c | 619.58$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.4 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Thunder | 45c | 617.34$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.34 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6779…eed9backed Lakers | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9b…11f7backed Lakers | 53c | 599.99$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Lakers won
- Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Lakers vs. ThunderThunder won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Under won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.