NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d9cdb4c651e9cbf57a071bea50f79ab7171374bbd26e43c5fdd0f6ac4b65789

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: May 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $550,538
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $548,624

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $550,538 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 346 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x32cc…68b3backed Over	51c	101,399$51,704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51,703.99	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f0…bad3backed Under	50c	69,375$34,688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,687.73	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Under	52c	68,993$35,574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,419.07	197	54.3%107 W · 90 L	+12.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Under	50c	43,518$21,618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,900.15	376	27.9%105 W · 271 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Over	48c	38,200$18,336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,336	160	39.4%63 W · 97 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fa8…e9abbacked Over	50c	31,808$15,904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,903.81	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	41cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over	62c	30,259$18,745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,744.7	175	53.7%94 W · 81 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Over	51c	30,000$15,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,349.92	344	56.7%195 W · 149 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over	50c	24,532$12,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,229.86	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	48c	24,513$11,737 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,776.45	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e9b…945abacked Over	50c	20,000$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Under	49c	19,702$9,672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,030.33	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over	50c	15,000$7,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,549.99	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Under	53c	12,617$6,687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,929.79	168	46.4%78 W · 90 L	-13.2wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74cb…afe6backed Under	48c	11,676$5,547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,128.69	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	29c	11,527$3,343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,184.07	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	35c	10,247$3,571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,675.72	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	38c	10,211$3,908 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,302.74	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Over	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,099.97	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Under	29c	9,999$2,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,099.29	66	36.4%24 W · 42 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Over	47c	9,510$4,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,469.8	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under	51c	8,919$4,524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,394.75	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Under	49c	8,604$4,216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,388.08	149	46.3%69 W · 80 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	51c	7,928$4,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,005.26	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over	53c	7,500$3,975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,974.98	60	45%27 W · 33 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-13%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under	47c	7,188$3,407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,781.78	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Under	48c	6,917$3,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,597.07	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under	49c	6,735$3,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,434.69	142	51.4%73 W · 69 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe49d…ff91backed Over	52c	6,431$3,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,343.86	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under	49c	6,000$2,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,060	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Over	52c	5,770$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000.4	170	55.3%94 W · 76 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under	49c	5,714$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,914.29	183	49.2%90 W · 93 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1788…0994backed Over	50c	5,455$2,728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,727.62	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-3.1wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Over	66c	5,300$3,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,498	135	44.4%60 W · 75 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under	49c	4,830$2,367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,463.4	144	41%59 W · 85 L	-12.8wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over	65c	4,615$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	79	63.3%50 W · 29 L	+7.8wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xece6…c4bfbacked Under	49c	4,572$2,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,331.57	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over	45c	3,627$1,630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,629.61	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over	47c	3,413$1,604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,604.09	292	45.5%133 W · 159 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under	49c	3,314$1,624 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,690.29	162	49.4%80 W · 82 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under	49c	3,184$1,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,634.25	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under	48c	3,169$1,522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,646.79	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-11.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c85…94a4backed Over	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,469.99	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c49…03d0backed Under	49c	2,920$1,431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,489.2	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under	49c	2,857$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,457.14	137	50.4%69 W · 68 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under	49c	2,831$1,387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,443.8	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cc7…e11cbacked Over	65c	2,615$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-2.5wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1de1…8f45backed Over	65c	2,390$1,553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,553.49	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over	55c	2,267$1,241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,241.32	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under	52c	2,232$1,161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,071.41	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Under	52c	2,121$1,102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,019.53	127	41.7%53 W · 74 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	48c	2,094$996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,098.63	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040.82	348	54%188 W · 160 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Over	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	-8.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	47c	2,000$946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$945.91	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under	48c	2,000$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,039.98	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over	19c	2,000$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.8	522	30.3%158 W · 364 L	+20.4wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f36…2819backed Over	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	33c	1,924$639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,285.12	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over	3c	1,904$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.17	312	22.1%69 W · 243 L	+14.9wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+79.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Under	45c	1,901$853 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,048.06	209	46.9%98 W · 111 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Under	53c	1,887$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$886.89	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b43…c5cbbacked Under	49c	1,800$882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$918	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x473d…caabbacked Over	61c	1,798$1,102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,102	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over	51c	1,630$836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$835.95	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	36c	1,572$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.37	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over	52c	1,537$799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799	42	64.3%27 W · 15 L	+4.4wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc246…563cbacked Over	51c	1,519$774 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$774.48	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-4.9wins	-0.38per pick	45cpaid	-82.5%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd6f6…6d85backed Over	52c	1,452$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	152	52%79 W · 73 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Over	52c	1,374$714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$714.48	200	51.5%103 W · 97 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Under	53c	1,355$711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$643.13	124	51.6%64 W · 60 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under	41c	1,313$538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$775.39	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over	52c	1,300$676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$676	272	46.7%127 W · 145 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under	47c	1,263$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$663.3	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over	48c	1,210$581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.93	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under	48c	1,200$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over	51c	1,117$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.13	447	40.7%182 W · 265 L	-27.5wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under	48c	1,095$523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572.43	452	51.1%231 W · 221 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over	48c	1,090$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522	62	33.9%21 W · 41 L	-7.5wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+2.7wins	+0.14per pick	54cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-39.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over	63c	995.28$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630	277	45.8%127 W · 150 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad76…93febacked Over	70c	994.75$692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$692	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	54cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under	49c	979.99$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$499.79	197	45.2%89 W · 108 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	48c	967$467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500.14	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under	53c	951.46$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$451.47	417	53.2%222 W · 195 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over	48c	949.33$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.68	176	43.2%76 W · 100 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	47c	937.2$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.48	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	28c	926.6$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.93	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	50c	917.42$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.74	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23ef…1d4cbacked Over	49c	900$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441	53	37.7%20 W · 33 L	-5.5wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-29%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Over	39c	869.49$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.48	236	30.1%71 W · 165 L	-12.3wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under	46c	845.78$389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$456.72	528	61.9%327 W · 201 L	+32.3wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	55c	837.41$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.14	428	42.5%182 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	46c	828.97$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.57	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	50c	784.62$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.49	844	43%363 W · 481 L	-40.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over	31c	775.05$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239	188	50.5%95 W · 93 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d22…403ebacked Under	52c	762.17$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.17	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc41…9b98backed Over	65c	758.11$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.77	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.65per pick	65cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	40c	724.14$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.63	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5this page
1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Lakers won
1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Lakers won
Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 1.5No won
Lakers vs. ThunderThunder won
Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Under won
LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5No won
LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5No won
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event