NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9e848c8c5108f17e92a9e026b39676bd0505e3187d50437229747aaa85d92d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $801,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $799,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $801,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 52c | 304,263$158,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145,372.23 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Over | 48c | 186,497$89,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,383.68 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 51c | 141,708$72,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,497.63 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 47c | 89,045$42,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,289.56 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 48c | 50,000$23,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,799.85 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Over | 48c | 45,991$22,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,295.7 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 46c | 23,913$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…c1efbacked Over | 52c | 22,493$11,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,696.62 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Under | 52c | 20,133$10,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,663.69 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 49c | 17,500$8,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,575 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 45c | 16,326$7,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,382 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 49c | 14,934$7,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,317.66 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b8…09e5backed Over | 45c | 14,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,299.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 49c | 13,454$6,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,592.46 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 46c | 12,715$5,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,904.34 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Over | 49c | 12,446$6,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,098.53 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 48c | 12,070$5,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,793.4 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f0…7e07backed Over | 46c | 10,870$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…799bbacked Over | 46c | 10,435$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…b79fbacked Over | 46c | 9,820$4,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,517 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Over | 45c | 8,512$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.56 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Under | 56c | 8,500$4,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,739.87 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Over | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 48c | 7,516$3,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,908.98 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 7,087$3,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,383.28 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Over | 48c | 6,144$2,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.12 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Under | 52c | 5,855$3,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.21 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Over | 49c | 5,673$2,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 52c | 5,234$2,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.48 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Over | 49c | 5,210$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Over | 46c | 5,025$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.54 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Over | 48c | 4,463$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.25 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 56c | 3,929$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.57 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 50c | 3,923$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.54 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Over | 49c | 3,816$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 52c | 3,808$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.49 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 50c | 3,740$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.03 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 55c | 3,560$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…0d2cbacked Under | 55c | 3,384$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.64 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Over | 49c | 3,381$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.7 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 51c | 3,325$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.2 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 52c | 3,030$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.37 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 2,944$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.98 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 48c | 2,928$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.44 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 49c | 2,882$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.18 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 52c | 2,881$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.76 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 49c | 2,855$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.72 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68d…e039backed Under | 55c | 2,602$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 55c | 2,528$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.36 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Under | 39c | 2,483$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.81 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 49c | 2,230$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.9 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 13c | 2,185$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.17 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Over | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Over | 45c | 2,068$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.75 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 1,829$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.2 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 51c | 1,767$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.62 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 51c | 1,751$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.08 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 45c | 1,560$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.99 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 55c | 1,528$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.52 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Over | 49c | 1,428$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.72 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 49c | 1,384$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.05 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…b655backed Under | 52c | 1,292$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 15c | 1,230$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.92 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 1c | 1,189$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Over | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Over | 49c | 1,111$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.18 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Over | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +82%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc246…563cbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.38per pick | 45cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 47c | 968.08$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Over | 64c | 943.88$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Over | 48c | 934.62$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.45 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 52c | 907.08$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.02 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…6df9backed Over | 65c | 898.17$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.81 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46c4…1563backed Under | 52c | 865.38$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Over | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Over | 48c | 833$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 49c | 829.88$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.64 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Over | 56c | 804.85$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.36 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Over | 59c | 779.66$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 48c | 763.84$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.37 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 48c | 748.54$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.3 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 36c | 699.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 50c | 699.98$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.99 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 59c | 680.19$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca9…ea67backed Over | 64c | 653.39$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.17 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 48c | 643.06$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.71 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 52c | 633.5$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.7 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 52c | 612.5$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Lakers won
- Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Lakers vs. ThunderThunder won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Under won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.