TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$801,687
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$799,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $801,687 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Under52c304,263$158,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145,372.2320545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over48c186,497$89,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,383.6829245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under51c141,708$72,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,497.6332653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over47c89,045$42,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,289.561,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over48c50,000$23,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,799.851,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Over48c45,991$22,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,295.734456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over46c23,913$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,00021943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc408…c1efbacked Over52c22,493$11,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,696.624951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Under52c20,133$10,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,663.695655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over49c17,500$8,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,57520744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over45c16,326$7,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,38235744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over49c14,934$7,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,317.661,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b8…09e5backed Over45c14,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,299.99850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over49c13,454$6,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,592.4648352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under46c12,715$5,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,904.342,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Over49c12,446$6,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,098.535345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over48c12,070$5,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,793.414538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9f0…7e07backed Over46c10,870$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04db…799bbacked Over46c10,435$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3492…b79fbacked Over46c9,820$4,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,51710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Over45c8,512$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,799.5628643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Under56c8,500$4,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,739.8717055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f36…2819backed Over49c8,163$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0005242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,92058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under48c7,516$3,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,908.9861638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c7,087$3,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,383.284,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Over48c6,144$2,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,949.123740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under52c5,855$3,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,810.2114441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Over49c5,673$2,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7803641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under52c5,234$2,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,517.4832351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over49c5,210$2,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5532653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over46c5,025$2,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,311.5418349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Over48c4,463$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,142.2512450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under56c3,929$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728.5714556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over50c3,923$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,978.5469848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Over49c3,816$1,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8703540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under52c3,808$1,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,831.491,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over50c3,740$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,872.0356646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under55c3,560$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60264651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Under55c3,384$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.647054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Over49c3,381$1,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.75442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under51c3,325$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.21,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under52c3,030$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.3766352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over40c2,944$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.988,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over48c2,928$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.4418749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over49c2,882$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.1818444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under52c2,881$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.7669149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under49c2,855$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.721,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc68d…e039backed Under55c2,602$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.821040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under55c2,528$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.366,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Under39c2,483$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.816636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over49c2,230$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over13c2,185$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.1752230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Over46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Over45c2,068$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.7516743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96050346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9803342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over48c1,829$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.23,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over51c1,767$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.621,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under51c1,751$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.081,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under45c1,560$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.9952951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under55c1,528$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.522,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Over49c1,428$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.7212646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over49c1,384$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.0565045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9375…b655backed Under52c1,292$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over15c1,230$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.922,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over1c1,189$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6731222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017147.4%81 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Over49c1,111$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.188648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Under54c1,100$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5068951.7%46 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over45c1,100$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49545146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Over33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3304748.9%23 W · 24 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick33cpaid+82%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47056043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4504,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc246…563cbacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500137.7%1 W · 12 L-4.9wins-0.38per pick45cpaid-82.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over47c968.08$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4552,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Over64c943.88$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002060%12 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over48c934.62$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.4517250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under52c907.08$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.021,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bf…6df9backed Over65c898.17$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.816261.3%38 W · 24 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46c4…1563backed Under52c865.38$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.38560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Over58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Over48c833$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.8411556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over49c829.88$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.648354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Over56c804.85$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.367835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2542…7821backed Over59c779.66$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under48c763.84$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.3752861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over48c748.54$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.344740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under36c699.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over50c699.98$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.9944345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over59c680.19$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007857.7%45 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca9…ea67backed Over64c653.39$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.173636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under48c643.06$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.7159255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Under52c633.5$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.714854.1%80 W · 68 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under52c612.5$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29447349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Over51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3066031.7%19 W · 41 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.