NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ba2827dc36edeed1c8e3287c4c5f65ee92dad3a5d70a37c79e32e46c0924847
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,742,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,754,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,742,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 665 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Thunder | 50c | 547,370$273,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273,684.77 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lakers | 50c | 453,749$226,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226,409.68 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lakers | 50c | 368,964$184,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184,532.51 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Thunder | 50c | 276,415$138,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138,302.31 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Thunder | 50c | 250,000$124,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125,500 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Lakers | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Lakers | 52c | 95,822$49,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,416.34 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 50c | 90,080$45,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,039.15 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Lakers | 50c | 80,000$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…f402backed Thunder | 48c | 64,047$30,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,304.39 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef7…b7bbbacked Thunder | 50c | 46,150$23,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,930.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Lakers | 50c | 45,624$22,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,631.19 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked Thunder | 50c | 40,620$20,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,510 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Thunder | 49c | 39,999$19,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,399.7 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Thunder | 49c | 33,315$16,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,079.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Lakers | 51c | 32,381$16,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,600.28 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Thunder | 51c | 29,412$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,411.76 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…433fbacked Lakers | 50c | 26,493$13,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,246.48 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Lakers | 50c | 22,486$11,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,243 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Thunder | 50c | 20,027$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,027.47 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Lakers | 52c | 19,996$10,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,477.99 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Lakers | 51c | 18,961$9,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,669.15 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Lakers | 52c | 17,308$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…c7c3backed Lakers | 52c | 16,907$8,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,791.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Thunder | 49c | 14,443$7,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,343.71 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Thunder | 49c | 13,600$6,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,935.98 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 50c | 13,037$6,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,530.08 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Lakers | 49c | 12,135$6,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,001.2 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Lakers | 51c | 11,765$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Lakers | 50c | 11,217$5,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,608.5 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Lakers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Lakers | 52c | 9,884$5,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,139.73 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 51c | 9,880$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,879.9 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Lakers | 52c | 8,923$4,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,640.74 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Lakers | 51c | 8,400$4,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,284 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Lakers | 51c | 7,843$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Thunder | 44c | 7,500$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200.46 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Lakers | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked Thunder | 50c | 6,734$3,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,367.2 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Thunder | 50c | 6,576$3,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,287.79 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Thunder | 50c | 6,092$3,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,046 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Thunder | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Thunder | 50c | 5,500$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Lakers | 53c | 5,357$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,818.61 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Thunder | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…c69abacked Lakers | 51c | 4,766$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Thunder | 51c | 4,431$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.06 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Thunder | 46c | 4,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.25 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4a…d328backed Lakers | 52c | 4,142$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Lakers | 51c | 4,062$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Thunder | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.33 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Thunder | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe3…c693backed Lakers | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Thunder | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Lakers | 50c | 3,755$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.58 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Thunder | 67c | 3,180$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.01 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Thunder | 50c | 3,147$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.23 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 46c | 3,076$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Lakers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Lakers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Lakers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.64 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…8322backed Lakers | 48c | 2,948$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.59 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39cf…f964backed Thunder | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Lakers | 45c | 2,814$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.34 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Lakers | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Thunder | 49c | 2,551$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.01 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Thunder | 51c | 2,522$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.22 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Lakers | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Thunder | 51c | 2,466$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.46 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Thunder | 51c | 2,414$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.5 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Thunder | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.94 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Thunder | 49c | 2,222$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Thunder | 49c | 2,187$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.12 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Lakers | 50c | 2,126$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.11 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Thunder | 48c | 2,123$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.97 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Lakers | 52c | 2,051$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.65 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Thunder | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Lakers | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Thunder | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Lakers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Thunder | 51c | 1,884$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Thunder | 42c | 1,729$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.2 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Lakers | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Thunder | 65c | 1,542$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.62 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…3a2fbacked Lakers | 65c | 1,522$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.83 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Thunder | 50c | 1,466$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.79 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Lakers | 51c | 1,440$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.4 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ef…1d4cbacked Thunder | 48c | 1,398$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.98 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Thunder | 51c | 1,383$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.51 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…b19fbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,330$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 50c | 1,282$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.06 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Thunder | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.09 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Lakers | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ac…8fc5backed Lakers | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Lakers | 52c | 1,162$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.24 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea0…8d74backed Lakers | 40c | 1,156$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,112$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.11 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Lakers | 63c | 1,051$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.79 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Lakers won
- Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Lakers vs. ThunderThunder won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Under won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.