TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8c8c…c7b4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
459
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Valorant, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 54 out of 100; worst UFC at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT35650%178 W · 178 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 356 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,532Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,532
NBA Summer League: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriorsbacked Golden State Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+196.9%+$661.4
NBA Summer League: LA Lakers vs. Golden State Warriorsbacked LA Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
NBA Summer League: Phoenix Suns vs. San Antonio Spursbacked San Antonio Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+101%+$303.03
NBA Summer League: Utah Jazz vs. Portland Trail Blazersbacked Portland Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$487
NBA Summer League: New York Knicks vs. Dallas Mavericksbacked Dallas Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
NBA Summer League: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Chicago Bullsbacked Chicago Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
NBA Summer League: Denver Nuggets vs. Portland Trail Blazersbacked Portland Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$194.12
NBA Summer League: San Antonio Spurs vs. Utah Jazzbacked San Antonio Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+103.3%+$516.4
NBA Summer League: Washington Wizards vs. Utah Jazzbacked Utah Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$327
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,729Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,729
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,400
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,385.1
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$6,901Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+138.5%+$9,559.74
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,925Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,924.98
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,046
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+212.7%+$2,127.34
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10,365Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+139.7%+$14,475.77
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,961Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,961.2
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,549Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,319.31
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$3,019.7
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,078
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$836Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$835.6
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,988Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,987.75
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,272.73
Showing 25 of 356 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3060%18 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$474
Valorant: Sentinels vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,927Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$2,269.52
Valorant: Team Envy vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,978Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,978.42
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Valorant: MIBR vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,974Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,974.3
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.2
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$987Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$267.37
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$967Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,181.89
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,219Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$847.28
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,717Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$776.18
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,725Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+103.9%+$4,909.37
Valorant: Alliance Guardians vs Pigeons (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagebacked Pigeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$1,608.19
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+184.9%+$417.48
Valorant: NRG vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+182.4%+$641.84
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,714Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$883.12
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$979Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$512.85
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,377Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,377.4
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+81%+$2,511.03
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagebacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$775Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$775.04
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,661Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,661.41
Valorant: Team Envy vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+155.3%+$881.18
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.41
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$513
Valorant: TYLOO vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,041Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$474.77
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,602Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,601.71
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$729Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$728.85
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$304.26
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$504.48
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$809Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$330.31
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.7
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$287.13
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$732.45
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$732Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$508.37
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$372.78
Sharks vs. Bluesbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Wild vs. Panthersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$666.04
Blackhawks vs. Flyersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Golden Knights vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Sabres vs. Ducksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
Hurricanes vs. Penguinsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$754.39
Avalanche vs. Capitalsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$666.67
Bruins vs. Red Wingsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$541.67
Lightning vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Kraken vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$646.03
Sabres vs. Kingsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$681.48
Jets vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$707Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$471.18
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$1,106.77
Sabres vs. Sharksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$754.39
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$585.57
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$663.23
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,035Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$945.74
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.4
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$293.65
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$461.54
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$73.42
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$690.48
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$674.19
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Türkiye vs. United States: United States O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$499.66
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$661Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$661
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$952Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,212.04
All 16 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$763Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$763
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+116.6%+$572.59
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cory Sandhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.31
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,265
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$253.05
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$888.89
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$212.5
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.35
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$449.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Toreros vs. Seattle Redhawksbacked San Diego Toreros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$148.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$631Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$631.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.