TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
DetonatioN FocusMeof DetonatioN FocusMe, VARREL
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$200,855
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$218,324

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,855 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3c3f…75cfbacked DetonatioN FocusMe61c52,981$32,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,689.0513651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked VARREL37c52,894$19,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,581.0178162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked DetonatioN FocusMe66c36,039$23,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,149.2712155.4%67 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked VARREL42c17,346$7,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,265.2328955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed VARREL32c7,917$2,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,518.239844.9%44 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed DetonatioN FocusMe57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72024946.2%115 W · 134 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked VARREL42c3,914$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,643.7326738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed VARREL37c3,492$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.9928548.4%138 W · 147 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ea1…d143backed DetonatioN FocusMe79c3,305$2,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.062676.9%20 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd037…5ea2backed DetonatioN FocusMe63c3,260$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.73447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed VARREL34c2,955$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.8354751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d3…e454backed VARREL44c2,492$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.665263.5%33 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked VARREL39c2,447$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.012860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked VARREL42c2,318$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.467236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed DetonatioN FocusMe59c2,067$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.283060%18 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed DetonatioN FocusMe62c2,005$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.7712138.8%47 W · 74 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed VARREL38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76033348.3%161 W · 172 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed DetonatioN FocusMe60c1,955$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.5115843%68 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed DetonatioN FocusMe71c1,954$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.7328541.1%117 W · 168 L-26.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked DetonatioN FocusMe59c1,750$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.7477744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed VARREL42c1,689$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.4293148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96bb…f0fabacked DetonatioN FocusMe57c1,549$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.852462.5%15 W · 9 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+39%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9273…fcf8backed DetonatioN FocusMe59c1,546$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05df…e268backed DetonatioN FocusMe62c1,511$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.472138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed VARREL41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61511255.4%62 W · 50 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed DetonatioN FocusMe70c1,464$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.5325752.1%134 W · 123 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e3…770ebacked DetonatioN FocusMe67c1,342$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.711435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-48.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked VARREL18c1,294$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.3388844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed VARREL29c1,248$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.9670251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked VARREL42c1,214$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.712751.9%14 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed VARREL31c1,197$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.384835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed VARREL41c1,111$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.519443.6%41 W · 53 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed DetonatioN FocusMe64c995.11$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.989644.8%43 W · 53 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked VARREL42c965.2$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.3831153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x45fa…f86fbacked DetonatioN FocusMe59c902.01$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.831030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-43.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed DetonatioN FocusMe58c890.77$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.123026.7%8 W · 22 L-6.6wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-45.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed DetonatioN FocusMe72c876.11$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.416654.5%36 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed DetonatioN FocusMe65c861$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.355939%23 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26e3…0b75backed VARREL35c853.57$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.5710551.4%54 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed VARREL42c817.58$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.3825556.1%143 W · 112 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked DetonatioN FocusMe57c799.57$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.115162.7%32 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked DetonatioN FocusMe63c764.1$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.0615450%77 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed DetonatioN FocusMe59c750.87$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.1442540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e35…2614backed VARREL28c732.96$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.672927.6%8 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-42.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6ae8…c9a3backed DetonatioN FocusMe61c727.71$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed DetonatioN FocusMe62c675.38$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.2527947.7%133 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed VARREL42c614.83$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.2315942.1%67 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked DetonatioN FocusMe61c606.46$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.1521048.1%101 W · 109 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…e019backed VARREL41c599.97$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.993357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed VARREL44c595.6$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.923151.9%120 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d8…9ccdbacked DetonatioN FocusMe69c588.9$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.73862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked VARREL42c588.77$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.2836648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed DetonatioN FocusMe71c587.44$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.091,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed VARREL27c565.46$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.2141537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked DetonatioN FocusMe67c565.1$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.7734954.7%191 W · 158 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed DetonatioN FocusMe70c563.6$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.827455.4%41 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked VARREL41c545.09$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.4155152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked VARREL42c540.05$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.8229733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked VARREL40c499.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c0e…270abacked DetonatioN FocusMe65c499.98$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.992860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed VARREL46c483.8$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.559837.8%37 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf66…b444backed VARREL42c480.67$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.881855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee21…3721backed VARREL43c470.42$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.6728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+21.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked DetonatioN FocusMe58c469.23$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.5161035.9%219 W · 391 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed DetonatioN FocusMe60c463.8$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.3517448.3%84 W · 90 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed DetonatioN FocusMe59c448.69$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.354342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed DetonatioN FocusMe64c448.12$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.467855.1%43 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf80…97ebbacked VARREL34c445.29$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed DetonatioN FocusMe51c434.06$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.7619847%93 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed DetonatioN FocusMe59c432.99$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.538538.8%33 W · 52 L-11.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed VARREL33c424.12$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.631,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x900e…beb0backed VARREL33c413.01$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.91346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+54.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed DetonatioN FocusMe59c411.65$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.785738.6%22 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed VARREL35c400$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1419750.5%49 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked VARREL36c399.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14486747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed DetonatioN FocusMe59c390.16$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.9725555.7%142 W · 113 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed DetonatioN FocusMe58c384.41$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.2113225%33 W · 99 L-18.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-48.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x18d1…57ddbacked DetonatioN FocusMe69c376.86$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.192958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed VARREL29c374.23$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.533759.5%22 W · 15 L+5.2wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+52.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked VARREL32c360.98$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2130835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b02…7939backed VARREL42c356.76$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8460%0 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked DetonatioN FocusMe62c348.96$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8512850%64 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed VARREL42c347.47$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.944346.5%20 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed DetonatioN FocusMe56c344.78$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.78638.4%33 W · 53 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed DetonatioN FocusMe59c333.8$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.8619040%76 W · 114 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed VARREL44c329.45$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9622955%126 W · 103 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed DetonatioN FocusMe58c307.41$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.2622455.4%124 W · 100 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93af…32abbacked DetonatioN FocusMe66c297.98$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.16852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765b…7ce7backed DetonatioN FocusMe67c292.6$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed VARREL41c275.07$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9434857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed DetonatioN FocusMe58c261.05$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7620840.9%85 W · 123 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaabb…2b32backed DetonatioN FocusMe67c255.5$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.311040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed DetonatioN FocusMe59c249.97$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4921454.2%116 W · 98 L+0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f9…db30backed DetonatioN FocusMe53c243.29$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.343745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed DetonatioN FocusMe61c240.15$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.666040%24 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf21d…2e9abacked VARREL29c234.91$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6126758.8%157 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed DetonatioN FocusMe60c232.66$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0733346.5%155 W · 178 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x546a…36fdbacked DetonatioN FocusMe65c230.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.531668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf342…a5e9backed DetonatioN FocusMe52c226.87$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.243333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed DetonatioN FocusMe66c222.18$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.888444%37 W · 47 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.