Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs VARREL - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdafee204344f10fe3fd3cf1542fa57a78d7cbefe31f972a9d0b899d7d042904
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VARRELof DetonatioN FocusMe, VARREL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked VARREL | 45c | 1,760$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.69 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea1…d143backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 53c | 1,736$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.3 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed VARREL | 49c | 1,065$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.64 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 52c | 1,061$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.42 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed VARREL | 53c | 596.43$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.28 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 55c | 532.41$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.19 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…a5e9backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 58c | 493.38$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.27 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdef2…98e0backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 60c | 485.16$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.96 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 50c | 283.74$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.24 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 51c | 268.23$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.62 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked VARREL | 47c | 249.98$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.49 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 49c | 210.4$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.76 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed VARREL | 49c | 195.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.95 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 19c | 191.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 44c | 173.95$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 49c | 135.77$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.05 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 19c | 115.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 155 | 12.3%19 W · 136 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 41c | 109.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked VARREL | 47c | 85.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…2c71backed VARREL | 47c | 82.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 54c | 74.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed VARREL | 48c | 73.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 51c | 66.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked VARREL | 49c | 57.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 45c | 56.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 51c | 50.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…3dcebacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 46c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked VARREL | 49c | 45.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 53c | 42.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab76…34abbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 54c | 36.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed VARREL | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed VARREL | 51c | 34.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…58c4backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 59c | 33.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 51c | 32.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 44c | 28.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 56c | 26.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 53c | 24.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs VARREL - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: DFM (-1.5) vs VARREL (+1.5)VARREL won
- Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaDetonatioN FocusMe won
- Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs VARREL - Map 1 WinnerDetonatioN FocusMe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.