Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs VARREL - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x471227a0e95bc0ed9e0c6568e1a96be7f576eaad642b9116d94f1c8970fa4362
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DetonatioN FocusMeof DetonatioN FocusMe, VARREL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 62c | 2,345$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.11 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed VARREL | 30c | 790.68$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.61 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed VARREL | 46c | 742.78$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.98 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed VARREL | 26c | 631.76$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.85 | 548 | 51.1%280 W · 268 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 77c | 596$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked VARREL | 61c | 530.08$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.81 | 1,370 | 39%534 W · 836 L | -59.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc793…f66fbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 62c | 437.3$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked VARREL | 23c | 420.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.79 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed VARREL | 37c | 391.52$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.95 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed VARREL | 40c | 385.15$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.24 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea1…d143backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 56c | 348.27$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.81 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked VARREL | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 902 | 44.3%400 W · 502 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked VARREL | 38c | 202$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 1,614 | 37.5%605 W · 1,009 L | -75.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7a…a930backed VARREL | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 58c | 184.17$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed VARREL | 42c | 174.43$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed VARREL | 53c | 153.46$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 1,001 | 45.9%459 W · 542 L | -28.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed VARREL | 43c | 129$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…3dcebacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 33c | 118.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 50c | 116.4$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 59c | 103.03$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed VARREL | 48c | 97.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…a5e9backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 50c | 97.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 79c | 95.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,386 | 47.3%655 W · 731 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5943…869ebacked VARREL | 55c | 88.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 58c | 88.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 253 | 46.6%118 W · 135 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed VARREL | 42c | 85.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed VARREL | 58c | 72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked VARREL | 39c | 57.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed VARREL | 23c | 56.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed VARREL | 57c | 51.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…594fbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed VARREL | 68c | 46.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x804c…548fbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 59c | 44.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 51c | 42.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 161 | 31.1%50 W · 111 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…58c4backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked VARREL | 52c | 37.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 1,318 | 43.9%578 W · 740 L | -44.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 65c | 35.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 1,748 | 46.2%808 W · 940 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb0…ed25backed VARREL | 56c | 34.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked VARREL | 42c | 26.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 59c | 19.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff54…7d7abacked VARREL | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs VARREL - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: DFM (-1.5) vs VARREL (+1.5)VARREL won
- Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaDetonatioN FocusMe won
- Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs VARREL - Map 2 WinnerVARREL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.