TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xaabb…2b32

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst Valorant at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagebacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$40.71
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked eternal premium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$23.21
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs BIG Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group Dbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.68
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$115.39
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group Cbacked Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.83
Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs AM Gaming (+1.5)backed AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.99
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.68
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.2
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Finals Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.89
Counter-Strike: Dripmen vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Dripmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+243.1%+$41.33
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Prestige (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14.09
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series#3 Group Dbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.58
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stagebacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$17.11
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.87
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stagebacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$67.81
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #4 Playoffsbacked Rooster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$154.08
Map Handicap: VOCA (-1.5) vs Marsborne (+1.5)backed Marsborne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$66.4
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Clutchain (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.26
Counter-Strike: Ølgod Efterskole vs Team Eclipse (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Bbacked Ølgod Efterskole · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$97.68
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Ursa (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffsbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$52.38
Counter-Strike: shimmer vs insane players (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Group Bbacked insane players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$32.11
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$95.61
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs MANA eSports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$172.36
Counter-Strike: Basement Bobs vs Vexar (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Play-In Play-Inbacked Basement Bobs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.78
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs LAG Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked LAG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$56.16
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+25.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$55.87
Cincinnati Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cincinnati Open: Alexandra Eala vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Cincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$129.17
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Emma Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$114.38
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobobacked Celine Naef · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$117.13
Ilkley: Linda Klimovicova vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$49.03
Makarska: Darja Semenistaja vs Maria Timofeevabacked Maria Timofeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$91.7
Libema Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Lin Zhubacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$36.96
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Birmingham: Celine Naef vs Maddison Inglisbacked Celine Naef · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.24
Birmingham: Rebeka Masarova vs Tereza Martincovabacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.93
ITF Tsaghkadzor: Ivan Iutkin vs Amaury Raynelbacked Amaury Raynel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.14
Foggia: Sapfo Sakellaridi vs Sofia Costoulasbacked Sofia Costoulas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.52
Birmingham: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Linda Klimovicovabacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$16.66
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$61.53
Roland Garros ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.86
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$131.86
Santos: Conner Huertas Del Pino vs Franco Roncadellibacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$41.78
Rome: Jacopo Vasami vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Jacopo Vasami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.62
Gwangju: Rio Noguchi vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$264.13
Dubrovnik: Polona Hercog vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.4
Bucaramanga: Juan Estevez vs Maxime Janvierbacked Juan Estevez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.05
All 23 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.98
LoL: Myth Esports vs Frites Esports Club - Game 2 Winnerbacked Myth Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - TCL Regular Seasonbacked PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$20.26
LoL: Uwinks vs Rising Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Rising Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.52
LoL: GLORE vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonbacked devils.one · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$4.66
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.57
LoL: EXILE esports vs Onion Team (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Seasonbacked Onion Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.64
LoL: Winthrop University vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonbacked Blue Otter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.02
Game Handicap: HMBLE (-2.5) vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (+2.5)backed GMBLERS ESPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.45
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+110.2%+$177.73
LoL: Ei Nerd Esports vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Estral Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+137.8%+$105.83
LoL: Forsaken vs devils.one (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonbacked Forsaken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$103.24
LoL: FALKE Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked FALKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
All 13 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: SwimTrek Blue vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO5) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffsbacked SwimTrek Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$31.64
Valorant: Crest Gaming Zst vs Riddle (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stagebacked Crest Gaming Zst · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.35
Valorant: AB3 Esports vs Tezcat Gaming (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Seasonbacked Tezcat Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.52
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.38
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$84.31
Valorant: XtremeDogs vs Bitfix Gaming (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group Bbacked Bitfix Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.59
Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Galions (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Seasonbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.31
Valorant: NOVO Esports vs Otakar Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 Playoffsbacked Otakar Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$36.77
Valorant: 555 vs Rival Esports (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffsbacked Rival Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Valorant: Motiv Esports vs Oasis Gaming (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffsbacked Oasis Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.37
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$126.09
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100.6%+$180.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 3.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Two Move vs MODUS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Two Move · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.