TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Bucaramanga: Juan Estevez vs Maxime Janvier

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Maxime Janvierof Juan Estevez, Maxime Janvier
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,691

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,691 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Maxime Janvier40c1,581$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.5211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x027f…472abacked Juan Estevez55c1,558$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8554134.1%14 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Juan Estevez51c1,071$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.318,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Maxime Janvier52c957.17$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.816,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Maxime Janvier38c583.89$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.31,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Juan Estevez30c497.3$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Maxime Janvier37c437.93$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.591,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Maxime Janvier42c437.73$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.684,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Maxime Janvier39c360.25$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.311,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x978f…e989backed Juan Estevez61c321.9$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Juan Estevez61c309.48$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1886844.1%30 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Juan Estevez68c300.91$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.5560856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Maxime Janvier35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19558639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Juan Estevez38c293.51$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2250731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Maxime Janvier39c275.97$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.922033.6%74 W · 146 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Juan Estevez34c253.44$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.371,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd93f…3c12backed Juan Estevez32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804327.9%12 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+64.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Juan Estevez70c238.77$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.8535164.1%225 W · 126 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Juan Estevez61c236.81$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7813450.7%68 W · 66 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Maxime Janvier43c230.61$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.681,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc03c…3138backed Juan Estevez66c203.6$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.54742.6%20 W · 27 L-7.7wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-32%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Maxime Janvier34c195.45$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.611,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbcc…5ae5backed Maxime Janvier68c190.21$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.931782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xddf4…d0cfbacked Maxime Janvier32c184.38$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.381747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Maxime Janvier67c177.94$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.422,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cdc…c874backed Juan Estevez58c168.1$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Juan Estevez56c159.71$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3165849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Maxime Janvier58c155.33$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.373,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Maxime Janvier33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5221847.2%103 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Juan Estevez67c150$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.51,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe324…9189backed Juan Estevez66c134.49$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8920664.1%132 W · 74 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Juan Estevez15c130$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Maxime Janvier24c123.35$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.61,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Juan Estevez65c113.65$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8759954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Maxime Janvier35c110.29$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.0117447.7%83 W · 91 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed Juan Estevez28c108.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2410317.5%18 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…2b32backed Juan Estevez56c107.23$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.052373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+25.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Maxime Janvier42c106$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4855660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Maxime Janvier30c105.64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.63,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b9f…1661backed Juan Estevez60c100.6$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Juan Estevez28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2851539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Maxime Janvier32c99.75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8348650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bd…6cecbacked Maxime Janvier32c99.75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8323248.3%112 W · 120 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Maxime Janvier35c87.88$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.730542.6%130 W · 175 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8755…e152backed Juan Estevez59c84.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.12825%2 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-61%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7132…f7f0backed Juan Estevez59c84.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.14520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-66.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf25…636dbacked Maxime Janvier48c83.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.654443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6840…9797backed Juan Estevez57c78.95$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick62cpaid-70.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe214…7febbacked Juan Estevez37c77.56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3412444.4%55 W · 69 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x460d…9d5fbacked Juan Estevez54c76.44$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.282268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+61.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x726a…196bbacked Juan Estevez61c75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.593384.8%28 W · 5 L+9.8wins+0.30per pick55cpaid+51%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Juan Estevez67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013563%85 W · 50 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Maxime Janvier56c72.55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.212,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Maxime Janvier32c72.34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0254434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Juan Estevez70c71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.753457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Juan Estevez63c70.43$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.372,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Maxime Janvier32c69.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5942353.7%227 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Juan Estevez59c69$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9737342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Maxime Janvier40c68.21$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8634950.4%176 W · 173 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6196…1a64backed Juan Estevez74c67.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016957.4%97 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Juan Estevez60c67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.277047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde48…accbbacked Juan Estevez56c65.56$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.717254.2%39 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Maxime Janvier46c65.31$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9657252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Maxime Janvier32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.521149.8%105 W · 106 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52fe…effdbacked Juan Estevez25c61.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.221533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cf4…ed22backed Maxime Janvier42c60.94$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5618447.3%87 W · 97 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4cd9…f506backed Maxime Janvier22c60.79$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.422060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd141…205cbacked Juan Estevez33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209122%20 W · 71 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Juan Estevez60c59.67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.84860.4%29 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Maxime Janvier61c58.6$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6795846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Maxime Janvier39c57.89$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.293,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maxime Janvier65c57.63$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.127,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09c2…a042backed Juan Estevez59c54.53$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46c7…e929backed Juan Estevez21c53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.134864.6%31 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Juan Estevez57c53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2127246.3%126 W · 146 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa146…1d57backed Juan Estevez78c51.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405064%32 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick74cpaid-13.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Juan Estevez44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251445.5%234 W · 280 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Maxime Janvier65c49.61$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1813748.9%67 W · 70 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a6e…bd37backed Maxime Janvier33c45.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.459441.5%39 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Juan Estevez67c45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.357354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Juan Estevez67c45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3511352.2%59 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc243…8ffabacked Juan Estevez66c44.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.791040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Maxime Janvier60c44.54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8738460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Juan Estevez60c44.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.528855.7%49 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Juan Estevez57c44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0822847.4%108 W · 120 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Juan Estevez57c44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0829244.5%130 W · 162 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed Maxime Janvier46c43.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.512152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+35.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Juan Estevez69c43.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3059965.8%394 W · 205 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Maxime Janvier51c42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4316718.6%31 W · 136 L-23.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-54.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Juan Estevez63c40.85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7432649.1%160 W · 166 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6af…532dbacked Maxime Janvier53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb69f…d51cbacked Maxime Janvier65c38.26$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2614752.4%77 W · 70 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Maxime Janvier40c36.12$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x877c…e669backed Juan Estevez68c35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.822963.3%145 W · 84 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Juan Estevez44c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.465346.4%303 W · 350 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bd…e48fbacked Juan Estevez55c32.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2115053.3%80 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba49…e8acbacked Juan Estevez68c32.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227038.6%27 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Juan Estevez43c32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.764,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Juan Estevez52c31.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1665264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02a3…edfabacked Juan Estevez60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.