TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe214…7feb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
133
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 53 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT12444.4%55 W · 69 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 124 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open, Qualification: Max Hans Rehberg vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
BMW Open, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Diego Dedura-Palomerobacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.54
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Campinas: Gonzalo Bueno vs Hernan Casanovabacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+170.6%+$23.66
Madrid: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Alejandro Moro Canas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.39
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$25.74
Mexico City: Nicolas Mejia vs Tibo Colsonbacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Monza: Arthur Fery vs Valentin Royerbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.04
Monza: Timofey Skatov vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+138.7%+$28.61
Monza: Martin Landaluce vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.27
Madrid: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Carol Young Suh Leebacked Oksana Selekhmeteva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.17
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Blockxbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.76
Madrid: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Alejandro Moro Canasbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.57
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+136%+$39.41
Mexico City: Blaise Bicknell vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.89
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruudbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.19
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jaqueline Cristian vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.83
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Dayana Yastremska vs Ann Libacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$15.68
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
Monza: Marco Cecchinato vs Sandro Koppbacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Sarasota: Tyler Zink vs Colton Smithbacked Colton Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.29
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Francisco Comesanabacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$36.8
Showing 25 of 124 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$11.56
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$10.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+63.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.